tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-61650840379635732662024-03-17T23:04:19.358-04:00HemipostericalWhite noise from the confluence of engineering, economics and excessionsHopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.comBlogger827125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-3615655223594164432023-12-25T21:24:00.000-05:002023-12-25T21:24:58.058-05:00Kyle Rittenhouse's "Acquitted" - a review<p>
Kyle Rittenhouse's book "Acquitted" is, obviously, a Rorschach test.
You look in to it, and you read what you want to take from it.
There are those who call him a "white supremacist killer", and others
who call him a vigilante - sometimes approvingly, sometimes not.
</p>
<p>
The book itself is apparently self-published, with author and journalist
Michael Quinn Sullivan being the co-author; in this kind of collaboration, the
risk is always that the voice of the author is lost, or alternatively the
co-author doesn't supply enough direction and the book wanders everywhere.
Thankfully, the book avoids that trap. It's not a doorstop (only 118 pages),
and the line formatting is, frankly, terrible, but it's very readable and
packs a lot in.
</p>
<p>
The first nine chapters - leading up to chapter ten which starts the events of
August 25th, 2020 - are an interesting, and at times sad, view into Kyle's
childhood and teenage years. His family was quite dysfunctional, with a
drugs-and-women depedent father, whom he has subsequently cut out of his life,
and a loving mother who nevertheless was terrible with money. Kyle and his two
sisters moved around houses a lot, didn't do very well at school given all the
disruption, and he recognizes that he was well on the way to delinquency. It was
the police cadets at school, and in particular the male role models he found there,
which brought him back (mostly) to the straight and narrow, with a new determination
to train as an EMT/firefighter. He qualified as a lifeguard, and was working
that job in Kenosha when "Saint" George Floyd expired in Minneapolis and the
BLM riots started, eventually spreading to that town in August.
</p>
<p>
Of the riots themselves, he describes being in town the day after the first riot,
and seeing both the destruction wrought, and the way that white and black citizens
got together in determination to clean up and repair that destruction. He and his
friend lent their efforts to the clean-up, but everyone was aware that the riots might
well restart that night, so he volunteered to stand guard at a car shop, equipped both
with his rifle (legally held) and his EMT kit.
</p>
<p>
Then the riots kicked off, violent thugs ran around burning and breaking the city,
and at some point Kyle was chased into a dead end by Rosenbaum, who grabbed for his rifle...
</p>
<p>
There's a joke going around Twitter that "Kyle Rittenhouse fired at three
random liberals, and two of them were pedophiles."
<a href="https://www.lawofficer.com/kyle-rittenhouse-criminal-records/">The
truth is a bit more nuanced,</a> but Rosenbaum certainly had a record of
sex offending against minors, along with a lot of violence, and
Huber was a repeat domestic abuser, also with violence. Grosskreutz, the
sole survivor, had a list of lower-level offences. Certainly, it seems clear
that the two fatalities from Kyle's shooting were not individuals for whom
society should particularly mourn.
</p>
<p>
Nevertheless, Kyle's reflections on his actions that night were interesting.
He certainly doesn't celebrate them - he says that he wishes that night had never
happened, and with everything that followed it's hard to be sceptical about that wish.
In more detail, he wishes he hadn't chosen to go to Kenosha that night - but given that
he did, he doesn't regret bringing the rifle. He points out that given the level of violence
threatened and demonstrated towards him and others that night, the rifle likely saved his life -
from Rosenbaum's likely violence with him cornered, by stopping Huber from beating him any more
around the head with his skateboard, leading to head injury and long-term headaches, and
probably Grosskreutz by preventing him from firing the (illegally conceal-carried) pistol
he pointed at Kyle.
</p>
<p>
Interestingly, he also regrets a number of the things he said and did after being released
from jail on bail, during trial prep and during the trial itself. Some he details, some he
alludes to, but in particular he reflects on his naivety with regards to all the grifting
that happened around his case, and how his situation was presented in wildly different ways
across the media. In particular, he strongly resents Joe Biden whose PR campaign adverts
presented Kyle's case in a very different way to the actual facts.
</p>
<p>
A few people and organizations come out with a lot of credit. The juvenile detention
organization, which held him for just short of 10 weeks, bent over backwards to support him,
give good advice and guidance, and keep him safe. Things started to get dangerous when inmates
came in who had heard about Kyle's case, and the threats started. By the time he was transferred
to adult jail in Kenosha, there were already outside organizations briefing inbound prisoners on
Kyle, with the clear implication to cause him physical harm. An additional three weeks in effective
solitary confinement in the Kenosha jail was even less fun, though again the guards were
professional and kept him safe.
</p>
<p>
Mark Richards, the lead defense counsel in Kyle's case, seems to be a remarkable man, and one of
the few lawyers whom I think I could respect. He agreed to write the foreword in Kyle's book, and
unlike many other forewords, this is very worth reading. In particular, he notes:
<blockquote>
Kyle is 1 of only 3 clients I have represented in a murder case where I personally believed
the individual was <em>truly not guilty</em> of what he was charged. [my italics]
</blockquote>
Kyle clearly admires Richards, describing him as an incredibly focused man, unafraid to be blunt
with his client, a hard taskmaster in trial preparation, and frequently calling out Kyle on his
bad judgements. Corey Chirafisi, co-counsel, was also greatly valued by Kyle; as a former prosecutor,
his practice court sessions quickly showed Kyle how to present himself in court, how to avoid being
tripped up too often, and warn him about different strategies the prosecution could use to elicit
damaging testimony from him. Crucially, Kyle described the subsequent trial as holding "no surprises".
</p>
<p>
The defense team was not <em>pro bono;</em> Kyle was fortunate that his case had caught enough media
attention, and that the available facts e.g. from the videos that night, seemed to corroborate his
case. A substantial defense fund was raised, and spent, in addition to the $2 million in bail that
Kyle was required to raise before being released. Donors from all across the country effectively
prevented Kyle from being railroaded into a multi-decade jail sentence. One wonders how many others
without such support have not been so lucky.
</p>
<p>
The prosecution lead, Assistant District Attorney Thomas Binger, no doubt wishes he'd never taken
this case to prosecute. I didn't realize at the time, but Kyle (presumably from Mark Richards'
observations) noted that the District Attorney had passed on the case - and likely because it
quickly became clear that there was a lot of photographic, video and then forensic evidence on
Kyle's side. Binger is infamous in the trial coverage as having a strip torn off him by the
judge when he repeatedly tried to introduce Kyle's use of his right to silence - which is a big
no-no. Kyle clearly doesn't like Binger, which is no surprise, and takes some relish in pointing
out that none of the prosecution witnesses helped Binger's case, and some actively helped Kyle.
</p>
<p>
The rest is history. Kyle did okay on the stand, Richards and Chirafisi did a rock-solid presentation
of the defense facts and argument, the jury came back after four long days with unanimous
"not guilty" verdicts.
</p>
<p>
The ending is fairly bittersweet. Kyle has won his case, and has his freedom, but is unable to take
up his desired career (EMS/firefighter) for the forseeable future, until his notoriety reduces.
There are still civil cases pending from the families of the people he shot, so the remaining money
his case raised will probably be eaten up by defending those.
He still has panic attacks from the night, but has a support dog Milo who helps him with this.
He has started a job as a entry-level political consultant, which I guess isn't a bad choice given the
experience he has had with politics - on both sides.
</p>
<p>
"Acquitted" is available on Kindle from Amazon, and from
<a href="https://rittenhousebook.com/">rittenhousebook.com</a> in paperback. If you care
about the American justice system, and the truth, it's worth
your time to read.
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-56480191245296666222023-07-20T11:15:00.000-04:002023-07-20T11:15:44.946-04:00Observations on boiling frogs<p>
I've had the recent opportunity to observe a post-COVID concerted attempt by tech leadership to reduce
its company's costs, and it has been quite eye-opening. A common theme in employee chat spaces when
discussing the changes is the
whole <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boiling_frog">boiling frog</a> meme, but I think that a lot
of people miss the deeper implications of what's actually going on.
</p>
<p>
<b>Q:</b> Why do you boil frogs in the first place?
<br/><b>A:</b> You're making frog soup.
</p>
<p>
When you make frog soup, you can add in lots of other ingredients to change / disguise the taste,
but inevitably you will need to have a certain amount of frog to attract customers. Yes, these
customers will probably be French, and you'll have to deal with everything that comes along with that,
but that is your customer base. Frog soup eaters, who pay you for the soup, want frogs in their soup.
</p>
<p>
Ah, but how many frogs will there be? You fill the tureen with lukewarm water, drop (say) 100 frogs into it,
and turn on
the gas cooker. Will you get a 100-frog soup? No!
</p>
<p>
<ul>
<li>Some frogs will jump out of the tureen, just because they're
interested in the wider world - the water temperature means nothing to them.</li>
<li>Some frogs are sensitive to heat, and at the first warming sensation they'll try
to escape.</li>
<li>Once the activity becomes noticeable to the broader frog population, there will be general
concern in the tureen, and some frogs will try to jump out just because they notice other frogs jumping out.
Generally, you lose the healthiest frogs at this point. The old, sick frogs are stuck.</li>
<li>You might try to drop additional frogs into the tureen to replace those lost. Unfortunately, word
gets around the frog community fairly quickly, and the larger frogs will squirm out of your hands.
You're left with the young frogs who don't know any better.
</ul>
</p>
<p>
Eventually, the soup comes to the boil, and you're left with... substandard frog soup.
<em>Bon appetit!</em>
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-65523110919114140412023-04-30T19:18:00.003-04:002023-04-30T19:24:13.381-04:00Evanston - an inadvertent experiment in racial math<p>
Hat tip for this to @DanProft on Twitter:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">AP Calculus at Evanston Township H.S.<br><br>"...the course is restricted to students who identify as Black, all genders."<br><br>"...the course is restricted to students who identify as Latinx, all genders."<br><br>Neo-segregation is the absurdity of identitarianism taken to its logical end. <a href="https://t.co/Jo8I9yzZCa">pic.twitter.com/Jo8I9yzZCa</a></p>— Dan Proft (@DanProft) <a href="https://twitter.com/DanProft/status/1652695726101594113?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 30, 2023</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</p>
<p>
<b>Note:</b> I'll be giving references throughout these blog posts, but I have high confidence that they will
soon be wiped out, so I'm preserving as much relevant text as possible.
</p>
<p>
Evanston Township high school in Illinois (<a href="https://goo.gl/maps/3gAQci9zXaBf9Wh59">1600 Dodge Avenue, Evanston, Illinois, 60201</a>), is in the suburbs of Chicago, about 7 miles north of Chicago city center. It has just achieved notoriety by racially segregating its math classes. For background, Evanston's <a href="https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/evanstoncityillinois/RHI225221">population demographics</a>
are 16.1% Black, 11% Hispanic or Latino - not far off the USA average.
</p>
<p>
In case you think I'm indulging in hyperbole, <a href="https://www.eths.k12.il.us/Page/3025">here is the curriculum:</a>
<ul>
<li>AP Calculus AB - MA0515: Students will study the equivalent of one semester of college calculus... This code for the course is restricted to <b>students who identify as Black, all genders</b></li>
<li>AP Calculus AB - MA0555: Students will study the equivalent of one semester of college calculus... [No racial restriction]</li>
<li>AP Calculus AB - MA0565: Students will study the equivalent of one semester of college calculus... This code for the course is restricted to <b>students who identify as Latinx, all genders</b>.</li>
</ul>
The same pattern is repeated for the Pre-Calculus course, which is a precursor to AP Calculus, and in the case of Latinx for 2 Algebra, which is the precursor for Pre-Calculus.
</p>
<p>
Note: I looked at the Science courses, and they did <em>not</em> have any kind of racial restriction.
</p>
<p>Some background: the "AP" classes are usually taken at ages 16-18, though can theoretically be taken any time in the four years of high school. They are 1 year long, have a well-defined national curriculum, and culminate in an exam which is marked completely separately from the coursework and other scoring for the class; so, for a 1 year AP course you get a regular grade (0.0 to 4.0, approximately, higher being better) and also the final exam grade (integers 1 to 5, 5 being best). You could in theory get a 1.0 in class (terrible) and 5 in final exam (amazing) - or 4.0 in class (great!) and 1 in final exam (did you even spell your name correctly?). They are notorious, especially in mathematics topics, for needing coaching to do well.
</p>
<p>
In UK terms, AP Calculus AB is something around A-level Mathematics. The separate course AP Calculus BC - which is offered here but <em>not racially segregated</em> is more like A-level Further Mathematics, and only for hard-core nerds.
</p>
<p>
The obvious question: why is the school doing this, and what are the implications?
</p>
<p>A tempting answer is: "to cheat!" Why else would you split out by race? You give the Latinx and Black students a
teacher who marks easy, say about +1.0 on the curve, and the rest of the students a teacher who marks hard, say
-0.5 on the curve. That way, a Latinx student who is actually 1 whole grade point behind a white/Asian student,
would show up in final results as 0.5 points ahead, and therefore tempting material for a college recruitment.
</p>
<p>
Problem! The AP final exam is hard to cheat on. All students in the school <em>should</em> be taking it at the same time,
under the same conditions, and probably in the same room. It would be very hard - though not impossible - to give
the Black/Latinx students an advantage by writing down or correcting answers. If a school took this route, it
would show up for any sample size other than tiny, by the white/Asian students having much higher final AP exam
scores than their course grades would predict, relevant to Black/Latinx.
</p>
<p>
What I think <em>might</em> be going on instead: the school assigns the Black/Latinx classes their best teacher in the area, and a time-serving loser for the white/Asian class. This will muddy the waters in the scoring differentials. With a
good teacher, Black/Latinx will achieve their maximum potential in both class and final exam, whereas white/Asians will
depend heavily on external coaching - or high innate ability - to do well, since the teacher is useless. And, as an
explanation for why they're not doing it for AP Calculus BC, they probably only have one teacher who can lead this subject,
and in any case lots of external parental help / tuition ends up being important, which Black/Latinx students are less
likely to get in any case.
</p>
<p>
Short version: in my opinion, this school wants to boost Black/Latinx student achievement in mid-level math, at the
expense of white/Asian students. If you're one of the latter, consider identifying as Black.
</p>
<p>
I'm really looking forward to how this experiment works out, and I sincerely hope that legal action doesn't kill
this segregation - as it well might - because getting this relative performance data would be fascinating.
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-45993148974768367062023-04-01T19:53:00.002-04:002023-04-01T19:53:57.161-04:00A short history of the Trans movement<h2>Roman times</h2>
<p>
Trans woman: I like to wear dresses
<br/>Man: Dude, we already wear togas
<br/>TW: I'm a woman
<br/>Man: if you've cut your balls off, you're a eunuch, not a woman. Not that there's anything wrong with that!
<br/>Woman: a big strong man with no interest in women to guard the harem - what's not to like?
<br/>TW: I want to have babies!
<br/>M: Where's the fetus going to gestate? You going to keep it in a box?
</p>
<h2>Middle Ages</h2>
<p>TW: I like to wear dresses
<br/>M: The Catholic Church might be just the thing for you
<br/>TW: I'm a woman
<br/>M: I'd keep that quiet while you're leading Sunday Services
<br/>TW: Though I still do enjoy perving on and bullying women from time to time
<br/>M: Like I said, Catholic Church
<br/>W: (told to keep her mouth shut)
</p>
<h2>Late 20th century</h2>
<p>TW: I like to wear dresses
<br/>M: Seems to work for the Scots
<br/>TW: With nothing underneath
<br/>M: As I said...
<br/>W: At least, shave your legs
<br/>TW: And wear makeup!
<br/>M: The major advantage of men in getting ready quickly in the morning, and you just piss it away
<br/>W: Top tip: use about 80% less. And don't steal my stuff.
<br/>TW: I'm actually a woman
<br/>M/W: Sure, Jan
</p>
<h2>Early 21st century</h2>
<p>TW: I like to wear dresses
<br/>W: How bold! How brave! How lovely!
<br/>M: You look ridiculous, but that's up to you
<br/>TW: I'm really a woman
<br/>W: Yes, yes, of course
<br/>M: You're really a loony
<br/>TW: I want to use women's bathrooms
<br/>W: Err... should I say something? Mustn't look judgemental
<br/>M: Weirdo
<br/>TW: I'm actually a woman
<br/>M/W: You don't have a vag
<br/>TW: I've got them to make me a vag
<br/>M/W: Oh my. Ewwww
</p>
<h2>2010s</h2>
<p>TW: I am woman, hear me roar!
<br/>M/W: Okay ...
<br/>TW: Call me Agatha
<br/>M/W: Okay!
<br/>TW: Address me as "Miss"
<br/>M/W: Wut?
<br/>TW: Haters! BLASPHEMERS! I'll get you fired
<br/>M/W: Okay, "Miss"
<br/>TW: Time to start picking up easy trophies in womens' sports
<br/>W: What the hell?
<br/>TW: Haters! BLASPHEMERS!
<br/>W: (shuts up, simmers)
<br/>TW: Ah, a woman's locker room. Please admire my penis
<br/>W: Get out!
<br/>TW: Haters! BLASPHEMERS
<br/>W: I'm starting to think we made a mistake
<br/>TW: Hmmm... how to reproduce given the obvious but unfortunate biological obstructions ...?
</p>
<h2>2020s</h2>
<p>TW: I am woman, hear me roar!
<br/>W: But... (Gets punched in the mouth)
<br/>M: That's not very lady-like
<br/>TW: Haters! BLASPHEMERS
<br/>Antifa: We'll burn your fuckin' city to the ground, transphobe
<br/>TW: I'm enjoying my new job as an elementary school teacher
<br/>M: What in the name of X is this 1st grade lesson plan about anal sex?
<br/>TW: All your kids are belong to us
<br/>M: (starts building up his household armory)
<br/>W: Wait, what's going on here?
<br/>TW: I'm taking all your sports trophies, and cancelling you if you object
<br/>W: (weeps)
<br/>TW: full public obedience and obeisance to the Trans cause, or we'll destroy you
<br/>M/W: (moves out of California, Oregon, NY, DC if they can)
<br/>TW: Christians? Legit targets. Let's leave the Muslims alone for now, they look like they might be a bit challenging.
<br/>W: (insists that husband purchase pastel grips for her pistol)
</p>
<p>
I don't know where this ends, but it's not going to be pretty.
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-55560105451247880162022-12-26T22:52:00.003-05:002022-12-27T20:54:44.863-05:00The Twitter Whistleblower report - how bad was Twitter, really?<p>
Prompted by a post by everyone's favourite Portugal-based squirrel-torturing blogger,
<a href="https://www.timworstall.com/2022/12/this-is-going-to-end-up-as-a-lovely-little-test/">Tim Worstall,</a> I
thought I'd dive into the practical implications of all the (frankly, horrendous) technical, security and privacy
problems that Twitter was identified as having <em>before</em> Elon Musk rocked up as owner and CEO.
</p>
<p>
Usual disclaimer: I'm going by the reports. Reality might be different. I cite where I can.
</p>
<p>
For background: both USA and European authorities take a dim view of corporate access to, and usage of,
individual user data. Remember the European <a href="https://edps.europa.eu/data-protection/our-work/subjects/eprivacy-directive_en">"ePrivacy Directive"</a>? Also known as the "'f+ck these annoying cookie pop-ups' law"...
Governments in both Europe and the USA are <em>keenly</em> interested in companies tracking individual users' activities,
though my personal opinion is that they're just jealous; they'd like to do it too, but they're just not
competent. Anyway, a company doing individual tracking at large scale for profit - Twitter, Google, YouTube,
Meta, Amazon - attracts their attention, and their laws.
</p>
<h2>Security</h2>
<p>
Let's talk about security - and, more importantly, access to secure data. A fundamental principle of security is "least privilege" - everyone should have the smallest set of access privileges to be able to do their job. You could argue that 5000+ people in Twitter "need" to be able to change things in production <em>at some point</em> to do their jobs, but they certainly don't "need" to have always-on, cross-production access. Not least, because someone running a command they found on an internal playbook as an experiment, could easily break a large chunk of the service. But don't rely on me,
ask their job candidates:
<blockquote>
Twitter's practice was a huge red flag for job candidates, who universally expressed disbelief. One
Vice President of Information Technology [his current role, not the target role] considered withdrawing his
application on the (accurate) rationale that Twitter's lack of basic engineering hygiene in their arrangement
presaged major headaches.
</blockquote>
Hire that guy.
</p>
<p>
Certainly, every company is far from perfect in this area, but those with regulators are continually seeking to narrow the number of people with access, and the scope of access those people have. Twitter pre-Musk clearly did not give a crap about
the count and scope of access. One can only imagine why; were they, for instance, relying on a large base of
pre-approved employees to intercept and downgrade/block opinions outside the mainstream? How would we tell
if this were not the case? Can Twitter show that they were engaged in a systematic reduction of number and scope
of access to production? If not, who will be held to account?
</p>
<h2>Auditing</h2>
<p>
Control is one thing - but at least, if a human performs an action in the production environment (change, or query),
that action should at least be logged, so future audit can see what happened. This is not a high bar, but was
apparently too high for pre-2022 Twitter:
<blockquote>
There was no logging of who went into the production environment or what they did.
</blockquote>
FFS
<br/>
To make clear the implications: in general, there was no way of finding out who queried (for their own purposes) or
changed (deleted posts, down-rated users, etc) the production environment at any particular time.
"Why did [event] happen?" "Beats the hell out of me, someone probably changed something." "Who? When?"
"No idea."
</p>
<p>
This is particularly interesting because <a href="https://techcrunch.com/2022/11/10/twitter-lea-kissner-departs/">Twitter's Chief Information Security Officer</a> - who resigned post-Musk - was also their former
head of privacy engineering, and before that, apparently, <a href="https://www.nae.edu/186933/Dr-Lea-Kissner">global lead of privacy technology at Google.</a> One could only imagine what that implies.
</p>
<h2>Control</h2>
<p>
There is also a wide range of engineering issues. Data integrity (not losing user-entered data) was obviously
a critical issue, but Twitter had been aware for a while that they teetered on the edge of a catastrophic
production data loss:
<blockquote>
even a temporary but overlapping outage of a small number of datacenters would <em>likely</em> [my italics] result in the
service going offline for weeks, months, or permanently.
</blockquote>
This is not quite as bad as it first seems. After a year or so in operation, companies have a fairly good idea
what happens with a datacenter outage - because they're more frequent than you imagine. Say, Henry the intern
accidently leans against the Big Red Button on the datacenter floor, that cuts power to everywhere. Or you do a
generator test, only to discover that a family of endangered hawks have made their nest in the generator housing
for Floor 2... So you get used to (relatively) small-scale interruptions.
</p>
<p>
If you want to run a global service, though, you need to be able to tolerate single site outages as routine, and
multiple site outages (which turn out to be inevitable) have to be managed within the general bounds
of your service's promised availability - and latency, and data availability. Even if all your physical
locations are very separate, there will inevitably be common cause failures - not least, when you're
pushing binary or config changes to them. So, don't wait for these events to sneak up on you -
rather, <em>anticipate</em> them.
</p>
<p>
This means that you have to plan for, and <b>practice</b> these events. If you're not doing so, than a) it will be obvious to
anyone asking questions in this area, and b) when things inevitably <b>do</b> run off the rails,
there will be bits of burning infrastructure scattered everywhere, around the highly-paid morons who
are busy writing memos to cover their asses: "how could we have foreseen this particular event? Clearly,
it wasn't our fault, but pay us 20% extra and we might catch or mitigate the next such event."
</p>
<p>
Go looking for those people. Fire them, and throw them into a den of hungry pigs.
</p>
<h2>Leaving the doors open</h2>
<p>
By far the most horrific aspect, however, was the general relaxed attitude about government agencies - and
heaven only knows what other NGOs, cabals, and individuals - having under-the-table access to Twitter's data.
Just the tolerance of user-installed spyware on privileged devices would be enough for any sane security
engineer to be tearing out their hair, but actually letting in individuals known to be employed by foreign
- and even domestic - governments for the purposes of obtaining intelligence information, and potentially
affecting the flow of information to their and other countries... one is lost for words.
</p>
<p>
At some stage, Twitter had to either grow up, or close down. Under Dorsey's crew, the latter was inevitable -
and likely not far away. It's still too early to tell if Musk can get them to option 1, but there's still hope.
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-6783589149640367292022-09-05T19:22:00.005-04:002022-09-05T19:23:29.444-04:00The (Karin Jean-)Pierre Principle<p>
Many of my readers (at least two!) may be familar with the long-established
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_principle">Peter Principle</a> which states
that in many organizations, people rise to - and are left at - the level of their <em>incompetence.</em>
And I'm sure that we can think of many examples in our own corporate experiences.
</p>
<p>
Now, dear readers, I would like to propose the <em>(Karin Jean-)Pierre Principle</em> which
states:
<blockquote>
Promoting someone based on their identity, rather than ability, leads almost inevitably to
<em>incompetence which you are unable to fire.</em>
</blockquote>
</p>
<p>
For evidence, I'd like to offer the examples:
<ul>
<li>The titular Karin Jean-Pierre, promoted to White House Press Sec based on being black and a lesbian.
If anyone would like to argue that ability featured in this promo, I'm all ears.</li>
<li>Kamala Harris as VP of the USA. Heaven help us.</li>
<li>Pete Buttgig as Sec of Transportation, advising all Americans to buy electric cars to save money.</li>
<li><a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keisha_Lance_Bottoms">Keisha Lance-Bottoms</a> as mayor
of Atlanta, Georgia; subsequently failing-up to be senior advisor and director of the White House Office
of Public Engagement</li>
<li><a href="https://www.spj.org/ecs13.asp">Jayson Blair</a>, former staff writer at the New York Times;
they were eventually able to fire him but my goodness, it was hard going.</li>
</ul>
Notable counter-examples: Hillary Clinton (barely female, was kept out of any important jobs),
Barack Obama (could actually give a good speech),
Margaret Thatcher (one of the few competent UK Prime Ministers, and elected despite being female).
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-75209781035617306912022-02-13T13:59:00.004-05:002022-02-13T13:59:34.861-05:00Elon Musks' employees might be racist<p>
A Happy New Year to all my occasional readers! May your 2022 be less fucked-up than your 2021,
which is probably the best we can hope for.
</p>
<p>
I was inspired to put pen to... LCD? whatever... reading a breathless
<a href="https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2022-02-11/la-fi-tesla-race-discrimination-lawsuit">Los Angeles
Times article on racism and discrimination at Tesla's Fremont, California plant:</a>
<blockquote>
4:05 p.m. Feb. 12, 2022: An earlier version of this article said that at least 167 racial and sexual harassment suits were filed against Tesla since 2006. At least 160 worker lawsuits were filed over various grievances, not just harassment.
</blockquote>
Oh, sorry, that was an article correction. I'm sure that most of the 160 lawsuits were about racism and sexism.
Many, at least. Some, for sure. I wonder why they didn't give a more specific breakdown?
</p>
<p>
Anyway, let's get on to the meat of the allegations from California's (government) civil rights agency,
who are clearly in no influenced by Tesla's <a href="https://www.businessinsider.com/tesla-texas-headquarters-move-from-california-officiallly-complete-elon-musk-2021-12">move from California to Texas that will take billions
of dollars out of their income</a>:
<blockquote>
Tesla segregated Black workers into separate areas that its employees referred to as “porch monkey stations,” “the dark side,” “the slave ship” and “the plantation,” the lawsuit alleges.
<br/>
Only Black workers had to scrub floors on their hands and knees, and they were relegated to the Fremont, Calif., factory’s most difficult physical jobs, the suit states.
<br/>
Graffiti — including “KKK,” “Go back to Africa,” the hangman’s noose, the Confederate Flag and “F-- [N-word]” — were carved into restroom walls, workplace benches and lunch tables and were slow to be erased, the lawsuit says.
</blockquote>
Ooohkayyy... Let me show you where this factory is located:
<div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhJ-wyvGXYjCdg9pkxqf2gSY96_Atr7cWTqT3StJ87yKrbo_Y7eiyPeT9g23lZSPAwpcH5kk_qPvc4znGsD4zcm3Wmh52B_BCL8c1XAKZfRauHYmuw2IiQZYvqe2nEaFpqeZYn6yKCJWeR85uLnFgSM8hlOvzWepotkQlJBfLrysa8NYm8ew_ZYeA2zBw=s1334" style="display: block; padding: 1em 0; text-align: center; "><img alt="" border="0" width="320" data-original-height="1128" data-original-width="1334" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEhJ-wyvGXYjCdg9pkxqf2gSY96_Atr7cWTqT3StJ87yKrbo_Y7eiyPeT9g23lZSPAwpcH5kk_qPvc4znGsD4zcm3Wmh52B_BCL8c1XAKZfRauHYmuw2IiQZYvqe2nEaFpqeZYn6yKCJWeR85uLnFgSM8hlOvzWepotkQlJBfLrysa8NYm8ew_ZYeA2zBw=s320"/></a></div>
It's squarely in the Bay Area, which is one of the most liberal areas known to
<strike>man</strike> persons. It's just down the road from Oakload, which is heavily
Black. If this behavior was really happening at the scale indicated, I would fully expect
mobs from Oakland to come and burn down the factory - while mobs from San Jose and San Francisco
with artificially colored hair paraded cleverly-worded signs outside.
</p>
<p>
This claim is almost certainly massively exaggerated bullshit, based on a few events. I mean, the
Confederate Flag? If you ever flew it here, your house and car would be burned down in short order.
But, and here's the kicker, it <em>might</em> contain a kernel of truth.
</p>
<p>
Thing is, these "triggering events" aren't coming from the well-established white supremacists
in the Bay Area (either of them). They're coming from the near-minimum wage factory worker class -
and, to no-one's surprise, this is dominated by recent immigrants: Very few of whom are in any
way white.
</p>
<p>
The dirty secret which the California civil rights agency skirts around is, and this goes back
to Harper Lee's "To Kill a Mockingbird", <em>practical</em> racism mostly happens around the same
strata in society. The Ewells were racist - eventually, fatally so - to Tom Robinson because he
was only one rung below them in society - a hard-working black man, not far off from doing better
than the wastrel crackers who formed the Ewells. Things have not changed much in 60 years.
</p>
<p>
The relevant strata of society in the case of Tesla - and any other manufacturing company in the Bay Area -
is recent immigrants in manual labour, earning not much above the minimum wage. There is
<em>strenuous</em> competition for these jobs, and indeed for the positions just above them that
have more security and better prospects. As such, you tend to see the various communities form
"views" on the other communities. And, unfortunate as it might be, African-Americans are seen as
the least hard workers and least dependable.
</p>
<p>
From reported experience in major cities, in both USA and Canada, newly immigrated Hispanics and East Asian
Americans tend to be reasonably coherent groups, with intra-group solidarity (if you were
Manuel Labor on the factory floor, you'd support
Javi in his attempt to get a full-time position because he's "one of you", you'd grudgingly agree that
Binh from Vietnam could do the job but he's clearly trying to climb to the management ladder, but there's no
way you want Marland from Jamaica because he's always complaining and making other people fix his mistakes,
but the boss won't fire him because he's black and they can't be doing with the inevitable racial discrimination
claim...
</p>
<p>
This is deliberately a caricature, but it's the practical reality in a wide range of jobs around here.
There's strenuous competition for jobs and advancement, so the natural defensive tendency of the
human is to join a tribal group for self-protection, and absorb their attitude towards other groups.
</p>
<p>
Interestingly you don't get so many (proportionate to immigration rates) South Asians in these jobs - they
tend to come to the Bay Area on graduate-level visas, or head towards their own small business rather than
working for The Man. But still, they have a view on Black Americans, and it's often informed by the relative
racial proportion of people robbing their - and their extended family's - retail establishments.
</p>
<p>
I particularly liked this claim from the article:
<blockquote>
One was lodged by a female Black employee who said her female white boss struck her with a hot grinding tool and called her “stupid” and the N-word and insulted her intelligence. The suit says the supervisor was fired but later rehired.
</blockquote>
A white woman, in the Bay Area, using physical violence and calling a Black woman the N-word in earshot of anyone
else? And the company re-hires her? I would <em>love</em> to hear the details of this case. I suspect the actual facts
are quite different to the stated ones.
</p>
<p>
I understand that the California governing class is mad at Elon for taking his money away from them, and
that an accusation of racial discrimination is the easiest tool to exact revenge. But let's not be fooled -
these claims are likely 90% bullshit, and the core of real racism arises from the struggle for good jobs
and money between non-white ethnic groups.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-52086154664904684792021-09-20T23:07:00.004-04:002021-09-20T23:07:14.214-04:00The Mythical Bay Area Mask Mandate<p>
I had to buy a pair of shoes today, and so decided to use the mall visit to test
the effect of the "mask mandate" that theoretically grips San Jose in its iron
fist.
</p>
<p>
My selected target was an anonymous, generic, medium-quality indoor mall. I approached
it in regular clothing, with no mask or other face covering in sight - I had a mask in my back
pocket should things prove sticky at any point. Spoiler: they didn't.
</p>
<p>
Within the body of the mall, I passed by security guards at least four times in
close proximity. No-one said anything. I was careful not to lock eyes in challenge,
just looked ahead at a destination store and occasionally consult my phone.
</p>
<p>
Of the other stores:
<ul>
<li>I avoided CVS (Pharmacy), and the pharmacy area of Target - didn't want to unnecessarily disturb sick people</li>
<li>Within Target there was no reaction, even though I walked past several staff members.</li>
<li>Discount clothing store #1 - nada</li>
<li>Footwear store #1 - very relaxed, even when I asked them questions</li>
<li>Discount clothing store #2 - no challenge, but a staff member was wearing trousers well below his
underwear waistline so I'm not surprised he didn't say anything. Let he who is without sin, et cetera...</li>
<li>Discount clothing store #3 - v helpful, no comment on lack of mask.</li>
<li>Footwear store #2 - no problem at all, friendly even through the purchase of shoes.</li>
</ul>
</p>
<p>
Summary: no-one gives a shit on enforcement of the mask mandate. It's way too much hassle. Don't feel constrained to
wear a mask. That said, everyone else in the mall I saw was wearing one, even though some were <em>way</em> below
the nose and only being worn for the form of things.
</p>
<p>
Also note: as a highly white person with clear diction, if there were anyone expected by shop staff to be a nark,
and therefore demand mask-compliant behavior, it would be me.
</p>
<p>
I'm rather disappointed that I didn't have to pull out my explanation:
<blockquote>
"I'm feeling the spirit" -SF Mayor London Breed, explaining why she was dancing without a mask in one of her city's nightclubs , contrary to her own order
</blockquote>
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-39819364541773578522021-09-18T01:25:00.001-04:002021-09-18T01:25:15.866-04:00Comparative advantages in violence<p>
This post was occasioned by the
<a href="https://www.khou.com/article/news/local/sterling-high-school-student-attack-viral-video/285-0fd73539-fa98-4d87-9433-27df8f1eecaa">viral video of a Houston high school student (Hispanic) being attacked by two others (black).</a>
It's not a nice <a href="https://twitter.com/libsoftiktok/status/1439001337140690947?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1439001337140690947%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitchy.com%2Fgregp-3534%2F2021%2F09%2F17%2Ffamily-of-houston-high-school-student-seen-pummeled-in-viral-video-wants-to-press-charges%2F">video</a> - while we don't know what happened immediately before it, the Hispanic student appears to be
trying to ignore the other two students and eat his lunch; then the other two suddenly launch a frenzied attack, initiated by
a hard sucker punch to the ear. Once he falls to the floor, they lay in with repeated kicks.
</p>
<p>
Fights happen in high schools all the time - though this one appears to be particularly vicious, and possibly
caused by racial tensions in the school - but this one in particular made me ask: "what made them think
that they could possibly get away with this?" No obvious provocation, clearly no aspect of self-defence,
aggravating kicking-when-down factor; I can't imagine that they didn't know they were being filmed. Heck,
they quite possibly warned the camera holder - why was he/she filming in the first place?
</p>
<p>
I won't bother to recycle the stats that black male youths include a disproportionate number of the most violent and dangerous
youths in the USA. If you don't believe that's true... you should take a walk around Baltimore/Chicago/Oakland and
see how that works out. But why is this true? Why do you find black youths initiating so much violence?
</p>
<p>
Like most things in life, it's perfectly rational with the right data. It's all about what's to gain vs what's to lose.
If you're in a sink school, poor family, probably no father in the picture, no real job prospects, you really
don't have anything to lose. The school expels you after repeated violent episodes - so what? You weren't going to
graduate anyway. Your only plausible route to success is in the local gang scene, and if pummelling a random Hispanic
student (on video) is your way to rise in status in that gang then, frankly, why wouldn't you?
</p>
<p>
The Hispanic students, though, are likely first or second generation immigrants. Their mommas - and papas, and
abuelas, because they're generally in intact families - are busting their <em>cojones</em> about succeeding in
school and getting a job. Maybe not always college, but doing well enough in high school and part-time work to get
a decent job with pathway to financial security. They start getting seriously involved in violence, they have a lot
more to lose.
</p>
<p>
Thus, the black students generally have the <em>comparative advantage</em> in applying violence - they're more
likely to get a net benefit from it. So we shouldn't be surprised when they do disproportionately more of it.
</p>
<p>
There are always exceptions; one can contrast a Hispanic student whose father is in jail for a lengthy term
for MS-13 crimes, with a black student from an intact family who realizes that his only real shot at success
is to do the best study he can. And every school bully has the common sense to avoid that one weird kid whose
family history is murky, but whose every action at school indicates that he has <em>absolutely
nothing to lose.</em>
</p>
<p>
The problem, of course, is the medium term. Teenagers have highly short term thinking... if you're in doubt,
talk to a teenager for more than two minutes. But if you look at
<a href="https://www.houston.org/houston-data/demographics-raceethnicity">the demographics in Houston,</a>
where Hispanics comfortably outnumber Blacks more than 2 to 1, you start to see the future problem.
Should the Hispanic population finally
decide that the Black populatation is too much of a threat, it's not going to be pretty, and it's only
going to end one way.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-34785181489442784212021-08-10T00:40:00.003-04:002021-08-10T00:40:47.856-04:00Asian Lives Matter - intervention<p>
<a href="https://www.ktvu.com/news/good-samaritan-shot-while-trying-to-stop-robbery-in-oaklands-chinatown">Instance
number N in a long series of crimes,</a> during the past weekend two Asian women in Oakland were attacked by scumbags who stopped their car
in the street, and stole the ladies' purses. However, two bystanders intervened:
<blockquote>
One of the Good Samaritans was shot and wounded and crumpled to the ground.
<br/>
One of the robbers is seen on video jogging to a double-parked Honda Accord. The second man trying to help is pistol-whipped and gets into a tug-of-war over a purse with the other assailant.
</blockquote>
Now, that's pretty ballsy of the bystanders. Not wise, but brave. Two (Chinese) male bystanders saw the robbery being perpetrated, and
tried to intervene. Of course, they were physically smaller than the (apparently African-American) attackers, and the attackers had firearms, so
it didn't work out too well. The first defender was shot; looks like the second defender was beaten around the head
but managed to hold on to the purse long enough for the attacker to give up and make a break for their car. Still, the
bystanders must have known that the odds strongly favored the attackers, and yet tried to intervene anyway. Mad
props to them.
</p
<p>
KTVU (local TV station) <a href="https://twitter.com/henrykleeKTVU/status/1424930713321701380">interviewed Mr Li,</a>
the bystander who got shot but fortunately survived:
<blockquote>
"Well, I wouldn't call myself a hero... they can call me a hero if they want. I just consider myself
as trying to help someone in need, so I'm pretty sure that they really needed help."
</blockquote>
I would like to big-up Mr Li - he must have known that he was facing a dangerous situation, had nothing but
his wits, and nevertheless stepped in to try and help. He was damned lucky to come out of the situation
injured but generally okay - only luck stopped it being much worse. Still, communities need people like Mr Li
to stiffen their backbone, and resist predators like those seen today.
</p>
<p>
The police aren't going to stop crimes like this. Oakland's <a href="https://www.oaklandca.gov/departments/police#page-leadership">police leadership</a> and <a href="https://www.oaklandca.gov/officials/libby-schaaf">Mayor</a> does not
appear to be interested in doing anything even slightly controversial to reduce crime in the city. So, how is this going
to change anything?
</p>
<p>
I refer my dear readers to my <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/02/asian-lives-matter-arrest-shopkeepers.html">previous
posts on this subject.</a> Does the "Black Community" really think that the "Asian Community" is going to continue
to take these assaults and not retaliate? The Chinese Chamber of Commerce is undoubtedly already talking to the local
Tongs - and, likely, Triads - about their need for protection. Do you think that the undisciplined, random violence
of African-American thugs is going to be able to persist against a highly organized and cohesive network like the
Tongs/Triads? <em>The hell it is.</em>
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-24404751373257892012021-07-26T22:49:00.000-04:002021-07-26T22:49:27.748-04:00Why Americans love guns - interpreting for Europeans<p>
Over the past year+ of lockdown, I have attained an unexpected view into the American psyche with
respect to <em>legal</em> gun ownership. The summer of 2020 demonstrated to a lot of "regular" American
people that
<ol>
<li>city, county and sometimes state governance was not particularly interested in safety
for business owners and home dwellers,</li>
<li>local police were overstretched at best, and unable to respond
in a timely and effective manner to widespread domestic insurgence, and</li>
<li>local political
interest in protecting the populace was <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/03/asian-lives-matter-uber-eats-edition.html">rather racially selective.</a></li>
</ol>
</p>
<p>
As a result, <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/aaronsmith/2021/06/02/americans-are-buying-guns-like-never-before-as-fbi-background-checks-outpace-last-year">Americans are buying guns and ammunition.</a> A lot of guns, and more ammunition
than <a href="https://freerangeamerican.us/ammunition-shortage/">you can shake a stick at.</a> A best guess<a href="#n1"><sup>[1]</sup></a> is that
8.4 million Americans became gun owners for the first time in 2020.
</p>
<p>
If you hail from a gun-phobic country like... most of Europe nowadays, certainly including the UK and Germany, then
this might all seem like paranoid insanity. <em>It is anything but.</em> In this blog I'm going to try to explain,
to a UK mindset, why the American love of guns is actually very rational - and maybe something to emulate.
</p>
<h1>The American Gun Situation - Overview</h1>
<p>
If you want to understand how a <em>very</em> well-informed - albeit highly opinionated - USA gun owner thinks, particularly in regard to
mass shootings, you need to read <a href="https://monsterhunternation.com/2012/12/20/an-opinion-on-gun-control/">Larry Correia's 2012 blog post "An Opinion on Gun Control".</a> His assertions have repeatedly been proven correct in the past 9 years. Go read that article, then come back here. As an optional exercise, you may like to evaluate the circumstances of this year's
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_San_Jose_shooting">San Jose Valley Transport Authority mass shooting</a> with
Larry's assertions in mind.
</p>
<p>
Hopefully, you came away from that article with some understanding of the American gun owner mindset. Let me
try to summarize in bullets (hah!):
<ul>
<li>Gun ownership in America is much more heavily regulated, at both federal and state level, than you think;</li>
<li>Mass shootings are highly publicised but a small fraction of overall gun homicides;</li>
<li>Mass shootings occur almost universally in "gun free zones" because shooters are not stupid, and pick places where people won't shoot back;</li>
<li>The various federal and state restrictions on firearm ownership ("no assault weapons!") since 1990 have been
pointless and ineffective, except in provoking Americans to go out and buy a shedload more guns;</li>
<li>Defensive gun use saves a lot more lives than offensive gun use takes (this surprised me too, but
Larry's source is not exactly known for being a pro-gun camp);</li>
<li>It is not practically possible to ban guns in America. Really, it isn't.</li>
</ul>
</p>
<h1>The Legal Situation</h1>
<p>
There is the perception in some countries that Americans can wander into their local Walmart, and wander out
with a military-grade assault weapon. This is not an accurate statement of the facts. In fact, it's so far off
base, it's wandering around the baseball stadium car park.
</p>
<p>
Suppose you want to buy a gun; that you are of the relevant age (18+ or 21+, depending on state); you are not
otherwise disqualified from gun ownership by being a felon, illegal immigrant (yes! you need valid residence
and identity documentation) or other locally disqualifying status such as being an <em>accused</em> domestic violence
perpetrator.
</p>
<p>
You rock up to the gun store, browse the various firearms on display - currently, very limited - and pick one
that suits your lifestyle and aesthetics. What happens now? You fill in the form for the ATF
<a href="https://www.libertysafe.com/blogs/the-vault/tips-for-first-time-gun-owners">Form 4473,</a> then - in
many states - you
leave the establishment and wait for them to contact you. Hopefully within the week, they will inform you
that you have passed the checks, and you have 30 days to come in and formally pick up your firearm.
</p>
<p>
You also may have to, if this is your first firearm purchase, complete a state-defined written multiple-choice
test, and there may be a required "waiting period" distinct from the 4473 check until you are allowed to take
possession of the firearm.
</p>
<p>
So next time you hear a politician say "it is easier to buy a firearm than vote!" you know that they are talking <em>complete
bollocks.</em>
</p>
<p>
Now you have a gun, what can you do with it? It varies depending on state. Larger weapons like rifles and shotguns
can be taken hunting, can be kept in your house (there are often requirements by states on how they are to be
secured) and in some states can be carried around outside ("open carry").
</p>
<p>
If you want a gun for self-defence in any location other than your home, then practically your only choice is a
handgun. Here the states, counties and even cities in the USA have a patchwork of different requirements. Carrying
around a (legally owned) handgun with you is referred to generally as "concealed carry", and there is
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Concealed_carry_in_the_United_States#Permitting_policies">a wide range
of what's allowed</a> - from "unrestricted carry" which means you don't even need a permit, to "restricted may-issue"
in places like the Bay Area and New York city where they actually don't issue a permit unless
<a href="https://morganhilltimes.com/apples-head-of-security-indicted-in-santa-clara-county-ccw-case/">you
donate generously to the local sherriff's campaign.</a> Allegedly.
</p>
<p>
Ammunition is generally easy to buy - if you can find it these days - with the exception of gun-hating states like California which restrict
who can buy ammunition, where you can buy or import it from, and require background checks for purchaes.
</p>
<p>
Oh, and "assault weapons"? Go re-read Correia above - but in short, politicians are deliberately conflating a
fully automatic ('selective-fire') rifle, exclusive to the military, with a semi-automatic (one bullet per pull of the trigger) rifle which happens to be the most popular kind of rifle in the USA. It turns out that you can't own a "machine gun" in
the USA in practice - unless you buy a smuggled one illegally, which criminals do because they don't actually
"obey the law".
</p>
<p>
That's how you get a gun, and what the major types of gun are - now, who's actually getting them?
</p>
<h1>Gun Ownership in the USA (it's everywhere)</h1>
<p>
People often make the mistake of underestimating gun ownership in America. They say blasé things like
"you know, literally everyone has a gun!"
</p>
<p>
If you took that as an estimate, you'd be low by at least 20%. In 2018 the USA
<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2018/06/19/there-are-more-guns-than-people-in-the-united-states-according-to-a-new-study-of-global-firearm-ownership/">had more guns than people</a> - 393 million guns compared to 325 million population.
There have been a lot more guns bought since then, and guns don't really 'wear out', although they can rust and become
unreliable. Note also that these numbers are only estimated, because of the general lack of registration of guns.
My personal opinion is that it's a lot higher now; about 40 million guns were purchased in 2020, and we're probably on
target to beat that this year if the supply can keep up.
</p>
<p>
About half of the civilian weapons in the entire world <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_ownership">are held
in the USA.</a> And civilian weapons are 90% of the total, because there are many more civilians than military.
</p>
<p>
Obviously, many people have many guns, and many others have none, so it makes more sense to look at per-household gun ownership.
This ownership is not distributed evenly. <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/state-rankings/gun-ownership-by-state">Republican states have a higher rate of household gun ownership in general;</a> Alaska, Montana and Wyoming all have
rates above 60%, whereas the populous northeast states are under 20%. But it's mixed - liberal Washington state has a similar
ownership rate to redneck Texas (42% to 45%). Even hippie California has a 28% ownership rate, though my guess is that it's
higher in the rural parts and lower in the heavily liberal Bay Area.
</p>
<p>
A joke goes that China's People's Liberation Army is the largest standing armed force in the world - but Texas has a much
larger, better trained, and more heavily armed force which deploys in pickup trucks. I would estimate that there is somewhere
in the range of 35-40 million firearms in Texas, handily beating the PLA's 28 million firearms. If <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FXcL_I3uTGI">Beta O'Rourke</a><a href="#n2"><sup>[2]</sup></a>
really does intend to take away guns in Texas, it's going to take him quite a while. I hope he has a big truck to carry them.
</p>
<p>
Even in the Bay Area, if you assume that ownership rate is half that of the rest of California, 1 in 7 houses
have a firearm. And, since it's so expensive and bloody awkward to buy and supply it, they are probably not just
owning the firearm
because they like the look of it above their fireplace. (Why do so many homes in sunny California have fireplaces? Why? Why?)
</p>
<h1>Let's talk about sex, baby; and eth-ni-ci-ty</h1>
<p>
Sorry, Salt-N-Pepa, I couldn't resist.
</p>
<p>
Over many visits to shooting ranges, you get an idea of what kind of people - phenotypes - are interested in
firearms ownership. Now, I'm only going by what I see locally (Bay Area in California), but it's told me a lot:
<ul>
<li>The majority are white men, and generally older (40+). So far, unsurprising.</li>
<li>There are more women than you might think. Most shoot handguns, but I've seen several
shooting rifles including one who's shooting a heavy calibre (7.62mm or .308) with very tight groups
at long distance. (Side note: intermediate calibre rifles like the infamous AR-15 are in
fact the easiest firearm for smaller people to shoot: they have remarkably little recoil,
so are easier to keep on target than a handgun or shotgun)</li>
<li>Strongly represented ethnic groups: Hispanic, Korean and Chinese</li>
<li>Under-represented ethnic groups: Black, Indian</li>
<li>A number of men bring along their children (teens) - and in my experience, this happens
disproportionately with Hispanic men. They're clearly interested in teaching their daughters to shoot.</li>
</ul>
</p>
<p>
Those people familiar with Bay Area Asian demographics might be thinking: Why Koreans?
Well, let's talk about the <a href="https://koryogroup.com/blog/who-were-the-rooftop-koreans">Rooftop Koreans</a>
cultural meme. Back in 1992, the Los Angeles riots resulted (for complex cultural reasons) in Los Angelino
criminals - primarily black - looting Korean stores. The Koreans had generally settled in the area in the 1970s-1980s
and made a successful living with small retail businesses, but in '92 found rampaging mobs trying to loot and burn
their livelihoods.
</p>
<p>
Korean men - at least, those born in Korea - all serve in the military. When you have a succession of unhinged dictators
in North Korea, controlling a huge standing army and artillery, South Korea is going to make damned sure that its
populace is trained in military skills and able to react quickly to an attempted invasion. This is not like the
previous West German conscription where you had options for conscious objection, or the ability to volunteer in Civil
Protection Services - in South Korea, you're going to serve in the active duty military for at least 18 months, and
you're going to like it. And if you don't like it, they <em>really</em> don't care.
Even <a href="https://www.koreaboo.com/stories/hyun-bin-real-life-captain-ri-mandatory-military-service/">famous actors</a> have to do their part.
It took until 2018 for South Korea to recognize conscientious objection as even a thing.
</p>
<p>
As a result, in Los Angeles the Korean male population had a) ready access to firearms and ammunition, because they
were in America, and b) the
training, discipline, and community coordination to mount an effective defence to looters. It's notable that in 2020
the LA rioters generally stayed well away from Korean businesses - because they knew that the Koreans
<em>would shoot them with no compunction,</em> and the local police <em>would not give a crap.</em>
Even USA-born Koreans get the indoctrination from their
<em>appa</em> (father) about the potential threats to their family's prosperity, and their need to be able
to defend the family from them.
</p>
<p>
Let's not forget Hispanics. The USA Democratic Party likes to think that, because Hispanics are generally lower
on the income ladder, that they're sympathetic to Democratic social justice aims. In my experience, this is rather
an optimistic reading. If you're struggling to make your way in the USA, as many of them are, the last thing you want is a criminal
scumbag coming into your small business and robbing it because it's an easy way for him to make money - and
so, you take protective measures into your own hands. And if it's a scumbag criminal Hispanic, you're going to be
very relaxed about taking him out, even if he thinks you're his <em>compadre</em>.
</p>
<p>
Finally, and even The Guardian admits this, middle-class blacks <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/apr/05/us-gun-ownership-black-americans-surge">are buying a whole lot of guns.</a> When you see sustained riots in your community, and
<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/apr/05/us-gun-ownership-black-americans-surge">respected community members gunned down for having the temerity to resist violence,</a> what are you
going to think? Are you going to rely on the police? <em>The hell you are.</em> You're going to tool up to defend your family -
whether you're a man or a woman.
</p>
<h1>How it Plays in Practice - Deaths</h1>
<p>
There are many guns in America, so there are a whole lotta shootings. The connection is undeniable.
</p>
<p>
There are lies, damned lies, and gun death statistics, but a good place to start is <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/249803/number-of-homicides-by-firearm-in-the-united-states/">the number
of homicides by firearm.</a> You can see that it has kicked up in recent years, but it's about 10,000 deaths per year.
Don't confuse this with the number of deaths by gun which is far higher (about 34,000 deaths a year) - because there's a lot of gun-induced suicide,
and note that the higher the gun ownership rate in an area, the easier a suicidal person finds it to use a gun instead of hanging / tablets /
car exhaust, etc.
</p>
<p>
Now, remembering our table of household firearm ownership, check out Figure 2 (state-by-state ranking of gun homicide rates)
at
<a href="https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/guns-crime/news/2019/11/20/477218/gun-violence-america-state-state-analysis/">the
americanprogress.org site.</a> Heavily armed Texas is #22. Liberal and lightly armed California is at #25. Those are
two very big, populous states with a number of large cities. Liberal and disarmed Illinois (home of Chicago) is #9. Top ranking Montana and Wyoming are #37 and #38 respectively.
Now, the overall picture is complex, and it's hard to compare state-to-state completely, but you should at least be
convinced that just having a large number of guns doesn't
inherently make a state more dangerous.
</p>
<h1>So Why Do Americans Own Guns?</h1>
<p>
Based on the ownership numbers, and noting the firearms death numbers,
Europeans could be forgiven for assuming that Americans have to be insanely and irrationally paranoid
to own all those guns. But as the saying goes, "you're not paranoid if 'they' really are out to get you."
</p>
<h3>Home defence</h3>
<p>
Americans do not like people breaking into their homes. Not at all. Over the years many US states - including
<a href="https://www.shouselaw.com/ca/defense/legal-defenses/self-defense/">highly liberal California</a> - have
passed laws stating in essence that if someone uses force to break into your house, you don't have to hide or retreat, or
wait for an imminent threat of violence to you or someone else. You are presumptively allowed to shoot the
invader, and when the police rock up, the worst they will do is temporarily confiscate your firearm (after giving
you a receipt), and comment on your shot groupings.
</p>
<p>
Shooting home invaders who are actively fleeing the property is a little dicier legally (sorry, Tony Martin) but I
suspect rural police forces are more tolerant in this regard. In rural Alabama I wouldn't be surprised if they helpfully
drag the bullet-ridden body back over the property line into your yard before taking the crime scene photo.
And then throw the corpse in jail for 20 years for felony robbery, just to make the point.
</p>
<p>
Bear in mind just how big the USA is. Even in crowded regions like the Bay Area, the population density is far below
the UK's average. It can easily take 10-20 minutes for the police to reach you, even if they're available. Out in rural parts,
that number could be half an hour, or much longer. If you have a crime problem, that's a very long time to wait.
Americans are not inclined to wait.
</p>
<p>
Note that, although Antifa are happily rampaging in the center of major cities, there are very few suburbs where
they'd try that on. Because the homeowners would shoot them - in many cases, with actual glee - and, again, the police really would not care.
</p>
<h3>Self defence</h3>
<p>If you want one reason why Americans own handguns, self defence (the aforementioned concealed carry) is it. As Larry Correia noted:
<blockquote>
Handguns are tools for self-defense, and the only reason we use them over the more capable, and easier to hit with rifles or shotguns is because handguns are portable. Rifles are just plain better, but the only reason I don’t carry an AR-15 around is because it would be hard to hide under my shirt.
</blockquote>
</p>
<p>
Are Americans paranoid about being attacked while out in public? Maybe. But it certainly seems to happen a lot.
See my <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/03/asian-lives-matter-uber-eats-edition.html">Asian Lives
Matter</a> series for what happens in cities like NYC, DC, and San Francisco where handgun carrying is effectively
banned. I assure you, these attacks will happen less in concealed-carry-permitting cities, because a bystander will
pull out their weapon and shoot the attacker in short order. You will rapidly run out of motivated scumbags.
</p>
<p>
Take a look at what happened in the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50952443">West Freeway Church
of Christ</a> in 2019. A scumbag pulled out an (illegal) handgun and started firing, killing two church members. A
church member pulled out his concealed pistol and shot the scumbag dead, with a single shot to the head, doubtless
preventing many more deaths. Interestingly, weapons had not been allowed in places of worship until shortly before
then.
</p>
<p>
Incidentally, if you want to understand some of the issues around effectively using a handgun for self defence,
read <a href="https://monsterhunternation.com/2010/09/23/role-playing-for-ccw-its-not-just-for-geeks-anymore/">Correia's article on CCW training.</a> Suffice to say, it's not something to be undertaken lightly.
</p>
<h3>The Gummint</h3>
<p>
And now we get to the real point of owning a firearm, and why so many have been bought in recent times.
</p>
<p>
The essential difference between the American and the British psyches, from my observation, is in their
obedience to government. British people often don't <em>like</em> their government, and hold it in polite
contempt, but with few exceptions they will still nearly all follow "the rules" even if the rules don't
make sense, because - well, they are the rules, and they don't want to make trouble. As a demonstration,
see the past year and the COVID restrictions.
</p>
<p>
Tell a rural American to follow a pointless and obnoxious government diktat, by contrast, and his or her response is
very likely to be along the lines of "f*cking come and make me, you bastards." And if you do try to make him or her
do it, there is not an insubstantial chance that you will get shot. Ask the Internal Revenue Service about their
previous experience trying to collect taxes in places like the Ozarks, for instance.
</p>
<p>
I don't think most Europeans fully understand how serious many Americans are about having firearms to resist government
tyranny. Part of the reason, of course, is the recurring incompetence and actual malice of US governmental institutions.
Anyone dealing with the Social Security Administration, immigration authorities or - my favorite - the public school
system quickly starts to understand some of this mentality. The government is not generally seen as benevolent, and it
doesn't really matter which party the titular President belongs to.
</p>
<p>
Americans know what malevolent, unaccountable government looks like. They run into it with uncomfortable regularity
at a small scale, and they don't like it, at all. It's not a stretch for them to think that the malevolence could scale up with a
suitably "we know what's best for you" government. That's what the firearms are a brake on. If you doubt this,
ask yourself why approximately eighty million firearms will have been purchased between March 1st 2020 and
December 31st 2021. Government saying "we're going to tax, regulate and take your guns" a) is an overtly aggressive
act, and b) shows that the government actually thinks that the current firearms are a barrier to them governing
"effectively". And the last thing that most Americans want is "effective" government.
</p>
<h1>What the UK Could Learn</h1>
<p>
First, it was a mistake to peacefully give up nearly all guns. Probably an unavoidable one, given the media climate
at the time, but there is now no practical way for the British population to resist government oppression. Maybe you
don't think that's a problem for now, but sooner or later it will be. An unarmed population is remarkably tempting as
a takeover target for self-favouring politicians. That's not true in places where they will overthrow you, shoot you,
and stick your head on a fence post as a warning to others.
</p>
<p>
Second, stop respecting <em>all</em> the laws. Politicians make stupid laws, regulations and "emergency powers" impositions all the
time. Tell them to get stuffed. Make the politicians and low-level clipboard-carriers fear the people, not the other way
around. You think that a fluorescent-vested busybody going around the Alamo in San Antonio telling people to wear a mask
outdoors is going to get any traction? He'd be lucky not to be thrown in the nearest pond.
</p>
<p>
Third, you're going to have to defend yourself and your family eventually. It seems clear that the police are more
interested in prosecuting people for silly speech on Twitter than going after actual hard-core criminals, people
smugglers etc. - well, you can do the former from an air-conditioned office, but the latter actually requires hard work
and personal risk. So if you can't rely on the police to defend you, how are you going to defend yourself?
</p>
<p>
Fourth... oh, sod it. Just emigrate to the USA. Pick a suitable gun-favouring state, go to the local gun store and
ask for help. It'll be the most liberating thing you ever do. Not to mention, it'll annoy Polly Toynbee.
</p>
<p>
<a name="n1">[1]</a> There is no national register of who-owns-which-guns in the USA, and that's very deliberate. A gun ownership register tells you where to go to confiscate guns should you be inclined towards a dictatorial rule.
<br/>
<a name="n2">[2]</a> Actually "Robert Francis O'Rourke", known as "Beto". But I like "Beta" better.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-53315613995234111082021-06-12T15:31:00.006-04:002021-06-12T19:54:40.780-04:00"Chaos Monkeys" and how it got Antonio Martinez fired from Apple<p>
Dedicated readers of this blog (all 1 of them) may recall last month's post about author
Antonio Garcia Martinez
<a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/05/james-damore-was-correct-apple-edition.html">being fired
by Apple because a bunch of neurotic employees didn't like what he'd written in a book five years ago.</a>
I promised a review of that book: "Chaos Monkeys - Obscene Fortune and Random Failure in Silicon Valley" and,
dear readers, this is that review.
</p>
<p>
It's a great book. Is it the "<a href="https://www.amazon.com/Liars-Poker-Norton-Paperback-Michael/dp/039333869X">Liar's Poker</a> of Silicon Valley"? Maybe, maybe not, but they have a lot in common. Martinez takes you through his career at Goldman Sachs in New York, joining a dying Silicon Valley startup (Adchemy), fleeing to do his own startup (AdGrok), dancing through lawsuits and VC funding, and finally playing Twitter for an acquisition before skipping to join Facebook as an ads product manager. His stint in Silicon Valley is 2008 to 2016 and, to the best of my knowledge, accurately represents the people, companies and society there at the time.
</p>
<p>
Most importantly, like Michael Lewis of "Liar's Poker", Martinez is a compelling writer. He is opinionated, informed, funny and - unlike Lewis - cheerfully portrays himself as an averagely terrible human being. He fathers two children out of wedlock, kind of screws over his startup partners - though there's a twist at the end - gets away with drunk driving and outrageous speeding, has a torrid all-over grope with a busty fellow product manager in a Facebook janitor's cupboard, and plays off Twitter against Facebook with misleading information to boost the acquisition value of his start-up. He's contemptuous of the CEO Murthy Nukala, although to be fair Mr Nukala does not sound like a pleasant human being himself, and of the ass-kissing divisional leadership of Facebook.
</p>
<p>
Martinez is a really interesting and colorful guy. I would totally buy him lunch to hear a few of his stories.
I would probably not want him dating my girlfriends though.
</p>
<p>
The full list of grievances of the Apple employees is given in <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/12/22432909/apple-petition-hiring-antonio-garcia-martinez-chaos-monkeys-facebook">the petition that was leaked to The Verge</a>. Zoe Schiffer's
byline there is no surprise, she is the leak-destination-of-choice for Big Tech. The top grievance was of course about Martinez's
portrayal of women in Silicon Valley:
<blockquote>
Most women in the Bay Area are soft and weak, cosseted and naive despite their claims of worldliness, and generally full of shit. They have their self-regarding entitlement feminism, and ceaselessly vaunt their independence, but the reality is, <em>come the epidemic plague</em> [my emphasis] or foreign invasion, they’d become precisely the sort of useless baggage you’d trade for a box of shotgun shells or a jerry can of diesel.
</blockquote>
I've encountered a good number of Silicon Valley women in tech in the past year, and I have to say that Martinez hits the nail
on the head here. The pandemic has demonstrated in spades the neuroticism of many of these women. There has been very little
get-up-and-go demonstrated, instead just a whinyness and cowering that makes one despair for the future of the human race. If there
is any criticism of Martinez here, it's that he omitted that many men in tech exhibit the same characteristics, which is maybe even
less excusable. Interestingly, you don't see the same weakness in most of the Bay Area natives, nor in tech immigrants from Central / Latin America or the former Soviet states - India too, to a lesser degree. It is mostly a white-women-in-and-around-tech thing.
</p>
<p>
It's notable that Martinez contrasts this with the self-determinism of a number of interesting women he encountered and dated / screwed during his time in the Valley. He clearly isn't a misogynist in this respect - he just doesn't like a bunch of people.
</p>
<p>
The aforementioned janitor cupboard fondling also upset the Apple whiners, especially the description of his facilitator:
<blockquote>
PMMess, as we’ll call her, was composed of alternating Bézier curves from top to bottom: convex, then concave, and then convex again, in a vertical undulation you couldn’t take your eyes off of. Unlike most women at Facebook (or in the Bay Area, really) she knew how to dress; forties-style, form-fitting dresses from neck to knee were her mainstay.
<br/>...[and later, when he's about to be let go]...<br/>
There were few women one would call conventionally attractive at Facebook. The few there were rarely if ever dressed for work with their femininity on display in the form of dresses and heels. A fully turned out member of the deuxième sexe in a conference room was as clear an angel of death as a short-barreled .38 Special revolver. Gokul [the manager firing Martinez] gave an awkward smile, and bolted out the door the moment I sat down. I looked across the table. If her look was supposed to disarm me, she needed either more cleavage or more charm.
</blockquote>
Two things about this stand out: a) boy, Martinez knows how to write, and b) he is an astute observer of the unsayable.
Techies have never been famed for their dress sense, and most women (and men) in a tech role do not really try to dress up.
There's a principled thing here where they want to let their work speak for itself and not be judged by conventional metrics
of attractiveness - but you can't then turn around and get annoyed when someone observes, correctly, that you aren't attractive.
I'd imagine that it would be a very different experience in banking where how you dress can be the line between success and mockery.
</p>
<p>
He also observes:
<blockquote>
It occurred to me that perhaps this most recent experiment in fertility—and the first—had been planned on British Trader’s part, her back up against the menopause wall, a professional woman with every means at her disposal except a willing male partner—in which case I had been snookered into fatherhood via warm smiles and pliant thighs, the oldest tricks in the book.
</blockquote>
Would the Apple employees like to content that this is not, in fact, one of the oldest tricks in the book?
Is it unacceptable to say precisely because it is the truth?
</p>
<p>
Go and read "Chaos Monkeys". It is a highly enjoyable book, it gives great if biased insights into Silicon Valley for both startups and Big Tech, and more importantly does so for the companies, the technology, and the humans involved. You won't regret
it. And despite being fired because of it, I expect Martinez does not regret writing it.
</p>
<p>
As for the prissy Apple employees who signed the petition: I'd hire one Martinez over ten of them, any day.
</p>
<p>
Apple used to say <a href="https://medium.com/ad-discovery-and-creativity-lab/think-different-b566c2e6117f">"Think different."</a> I guess those days are long gone.
</p>
<p><em>Update:</em> Garcia himself <a href="https://appleinsider.com/articles/21/05/21/ex-apple-employee-antonio-garcia-martinez-speaks-out-on-firing">speaks without specificity on the firing.</a> I'm guessing he got paid very well for signing that
non-disclosure agreement, unlike the one he was offered (and declined) at Facebook. If it was less than six figures, I'd be
very surprised.
</p>
<p>
A really ballsy move would be for Google, Oracle or even Twitter to hire him, to stick two fingers up at
the pusillanimous HR skirts at Apple - and at their own self-important neurotic engineers. Won't happen, of course,
but if you happened to have a division that you wanted shot of, and it was infested by this kind of person,
hiring Martinez into it - and standing behind him - would be nothing short of hilarious.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-42387228618300094132021-05-25T22:39:00.000-04:002021-05-25T22:39:00.756-04:00James Damore was correct - Apple edition<p>
Some of you may remember the story of James Damore, the Google engineer who
<a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2018/01/the-best-messaging-advice-i-ever-got.html">
suggested that perhaps some of the male/female software engineering disparity was due to the
different dominant characteristics of males and females,</a>
and got fired for it. Damore's essay <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20170809021151/https://diversitymemo.com/">Google's Ideological Echo Chamber</a> made
a number of points and hypotheses, but one particular point stands out to me in the context
of recent news:
<blockquote>
Women, on average, have more:
<ul>
<li>Openness directed towards feelings and aesthetics rather than ideas[...]</li>
<li>Extraversion expressed as gregariousness rather than assertiveness. Also, higher agreeableness[...]</li>
<li><em>Neuroticism (higher anxiety, lower stress tolerance).</em> This may contribute to the higher levels of anxiety women report on Googlegeist and to the lower number of women in high stress jobs.</li>
</ul>
</blockquote>
A whole bunch of neurotic women (and, to be fair, men) got together to demand that Damore be fired, for contributing
to their workplace stress... I guess, proving his point?
</p>
<p>
Well, there's now a new sacrifice for the Social Justice Wicker Man, and he also appears to have been
bundled into the cage on the altar of neuroses:
Antonio García Martínez. Martínez had previously written a bestselling book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0062458205/ref=ppx_yo_dt_b_asin_title_o01_s00?ie=UTF8&psc=1">
Chaos Monkeys: Obscene Fortune and Random Failure in Silicon Valley.</a> It was originally published in July 2016, though the most recent paperback reprint on Amazon is from 2018. So, and this is not insignificant, he wrote this 5 years ago.
</p>
<p>
Mr Martínez recently got hired by Apple. <a href="https://www.theverge.com/2021/5/25/22453302/apple-culture-secrecy-leak-antonio-garcia-martinez-letter">But, it turns out, a few people had read his book and were not happy:</a>
<blockquote>
Then, a group of workers wrote a letter calling for an investigation. “Given Mr. García Martínez’s history of publishing overtly racist and sexist remarks about his former colleagues, we are concerned that his presence at Apple will contribute to an unsafe working environment for our colleagues who are at risk of public harassment and private bullying,” they said.
<br/>
Within hours, the letter had well over 1,000 signatures. It was leaked to The Verge. That evening, García Martínez was fired.
</blockquote>
The irony, it burns. (Must be hot irony).
</p>
<p>
I tried to order the book a couple of weeks ago but - yet more irony - it's now in such demand as a bestseller that I'll be
lucky to get it by mid-June. When it finally arrives, dear readers, I promise an in-depth review.
</p>
<p>
Getting back to my original point, let us summarize: a bunch of Apple employees felt so empowered by Social Justice
that they could demand firing of a new company hire <em>based on something completely unconnected with Apple which
he wrote 5 years ago, and which Apple must have known about when they hired him</em> - and within the space of a couple
of days, he was gone, no appeal
</p>
<p>
This isn't healthy, and isn't going to end well.
</p>
<p>
In the meantime, though, Martínez's book is still selling heavily on Amazon. And he's probably earned out his advance, so
every sale is another royalty. Perhaps being fired by Apple was one of the better things to happen to him, financially -
and I bet there's going to be a financial settlement on the quiet as soon as he hires a lawyer, if he hasn't already done so.
</p>
<p>
The really interesting information though, would be the names of the Apple employees who are signatories to the letter.
Any future employer should think <em>really, really carefully</em> about employing someone so neurotic, self-entitled and
bitter that they would hound someone out of a company simply because they didn't like what they wrote.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-29264734920067368342021-04-20T21:25:00.002-04:002021-04-20T21:25:53.699-04:00Eric Nelson had the right strategy for Chauvin<p>
For any readers from planet Mars (hello, Perseverence!) a quick summary: On 25th of May 2020, a gentleman
named George Floyd, who was black, was arrested by several Minneapolis police officers for passing an apparently fake
$20 bill in a convenience store. Floyd was a habitual drug user, and had recently ingested both meth and
Fentanyl. Officer Derek Chauvin and others tried to put him in a police car; the 220-pound Floyd resisted.
The police officers instead put him on the ground and pinned him there for 9 mins and 29 seconds - apparently increasingly fearful that he was
undergoing "excited delirium" from the drugs ingested. He protested saying "I can't breathe" several times, including
when he was still standing. Officers called EMS for urgent medical help. A couple of minutes before EMS arrived, an officer
noticed Floyd was no longer moving, and couldn't find a pulse. EMS rolled up, loaded Floyd, moved to a safe location
and commenced resuscitation. Floyd died.
</p>
<p>
Officer Derek Chauvin's trial for murder ran over this past 3 weeks. The state-funded prosecution came mob-handed: 12-15 prosecutors
including a number volunteering their time "for the public good". Chauvin had a single defence laywer, Eric Nelson,
paid for mainly out of police union funds. Nelson and Chauvin lost, as you may have heard, and now Chauvin is looking at 20+ years behind bars unless an appeal about trial location and prejudicial comments, plus some sharp practice by the prosecution, works out. For the record, I think he'd have to be very lucky for the appeal to get traction; but not
because it's wrong.
</p>
<p>
I know quite a lot about this trial's events. I've followed the day-by-day liveblog at <a href="https://legalinsurrection.com/author/law-of-self-defense/">Legal Insurrection,</a> principally
by self-defence lawyer Andrew Branca. Now, Branca comes at this with his own prejudices, as we all do,
and gives his own read on the trial, but overall it's a fairly low-bias account. I read through it all and
thought that Eric Nelson had got over the line on "reasonable doubt": I thought he could secure a few jurors
to accept that there would be reasonable doubt that Chauvin's leaning-on-back-and-neck pin was what materially
killed Floyd, compared to the known ingestion of various drugs, enlarged heart, 90%-occluded arteries, etc.
Branca was down on Nelson's use-of-force witness, and I'd agree, but on the medical front - and indeed, narrating
the arrest from Chauvin's point of view during closing - I think his conclusion of "reasonable doubt" was indeed
reasonable.
</p>
<p>
The jury took just over a day to return a unanimous verdict on all charges, starting with Minnesota 2nd degree
murder. They were not hung, they had no questions for the judge. They stayed out for the shortest decent time
decent, and came back with a predetermined result. They knew what they were voting before they were sent out.
</p>
<p>
I'm sure a lot of opprobrium will be heaped on Nelson by people sympathetic to Chauvin. Honestly, it's misplaced.
He was David in front of Goliath, but in this case Goliath knew the shot was coming and had a plan to duck.
The jury looked at what would happen with any "not guilty" verdict and decided "I don't want any part of that!".
It's rational, although a dereliction of public duty. Nelson just needed 1-2 people to say "wait, no, we can't
railroad this guy - reasonable doubt!" but the fact that there was no hung jury and not even a question to the judge tells you where the jury felt their interest lay.
</p>
<p>
Still, all the people bleating about "racial healing!" have it exactly the wrong way around. In today's environment,
real racial healing would be a white and black jury <em>not convicting</em> a white man accused of killing a black
man, because of the <em>reasonable doubt</em> standard that is still supposed to underpin justice. Weaken that
standard because of race, and you make race relations worse.
</p>
<p>
Incidentally, I hope that the big American blue cities (Seattle, Minneapolis, Chicago, San Francisco, ...) really enjoy
the future lack of policing now that it's clear politicians will crush police officers like a bug if they do
anything to affect race relations. Informal stock tip: buy ammunition and guns (directly or via companies) as
the populace realizes that they're on their own for self defence.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-12107170748534544672021-04-18T22:39:00.000-04:002021-04-18T22:39:16.655-04:00Lemon Socialism - California style<p>
<blockquote>
What would happen if the Communists occupied the Sahara?
<br/>Answer: Nothing—for 50 years. Then there would be a <em>shortage of sand</em>
</blockquote>
There's a significant squeeze (pun totally intended) on California citrus
fruits recently. Per the <a href="https://www.producebluebook.com/2020/07/08/lemon-demand-remains-high/#">Produce Blue Book:</a>
<blockquote>
Throughout the analyzed period, lemon prices for product coming from South & Central California, have been increasing which is in contrast with to stable pricing of the 2019 season, said Miguel Montero, executive vice president of strategy and revenue with Agtools Inc.
</blockquote>
Anecdotally, I can confirm. Supermarket lemon and lime prices in particular are significantly up compared to last year.
</p>
<p>
OK, so what? Pandemic drives increased demand, there's inelastic supply, prices rise.
</p>
<p>
Problem is, supply is <em>very</em> elastic. In California, fruits are <em>weeds.</em> When you
move to California from Wisconsin, Maine or wherever, if you have a garden of any size then you'll have citrus
trees: orange, lemon, grapefruit; also non-citrus pomegranate, apricot, asian pear, Japanese plum, persimmons. Even bitter orange, if you like a mouth-wrenching sour taste and vicious thorns.
</p>
<p>
It's not like this has been a citrus-hostile recent climate. The neighbourhood orange and lemon trees
are very fruitful this year. They grow everywhere, and without any particular gardening care other
than a bit of water now and again.
</p>
<p>
You'd expect that anyone with a reasonable-sized garden would be able to sell their lemons and oranges
into the local market to take advantage of rising prices. You'd be wrong. Doing this is limited to road-side stalls outside
the main Bay Area, where local law enforcement knows not to ask too many questions. Try this in San Jose and
you'll be hit with citations for missing permits, causing a nuisance, and various public health violations.
</p>
<p>
Law enforcement carries out public policy. Public policy is to keep prices high for local major farmers, and
allow <a href="https://www.nolo.com/legal-encyclopedia/who-is-undocumented-immigrant.html">indocumentados</a> to earn a living without too many questions. Anyone else with citrus trees is shit-outta-luck.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-28164657181038901012021-04-10T03:18:00.004-04:002021-04-10T03:19:53.225-04:00Unionizing Amazon<p>
Today Amazon managed to defeat a
<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2021/04/09/tech/amazon-bessemer-union-election/index.html">unionization effort at their Bessemer, Alabama warehouse,</a> by a margin of 2 to 1. This has not gone down well with
the pro-union folks:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">BREAKING: More Perfect Union has obtained new details about Amazon’s illegal actions to defeat the union.<br><br>The violations make it overwhelmingly likely that the NLRB will overturn the results and give workers a second election.<br><br>Details in the video and thread below. <a href="https://t.co/ddWw6m8emS">pic.twitter.com/ddWw6m8emS</a></p>— More Perfect Union (@MorePerfectUS) <a href="https://twitter.com/MorePerfectUS/status/1380622130170228738?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 9, 2021</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
Why are they so upset? Ah, pull up a chair and let's review the recent (and not so recent)
history of unionization drives in tech.
</p>
<p>
<h2>Amazon</h2>
You can't talk about Amazon without also talking about
<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2013/aug/06/jeff-bezos-amazon-washington-post">The Dread Pirate Bezos.</a> Jeff Bezos is an unmitigated genius, but also not one to tolerate threats
to his businesses. Any attempt at unionization of the workforce - yielding a significant amount
of control from Bezos to union leads - is going to get shut down pretty damn quick.
</p>
<p>
Parenthetically, my favorite Bezos story came from ex-Amazon engineer Steve Yegge in
a rant about <a href="https://gist.github.com/chitchcock/1281611">the way that Amazon
really got platforms (and Google didn't):</a>
<blockquote>
His [Bezos] Big Mandate went something along these lines:
<p>
1. All teams will henceforth expose their data and functionality through service interfaces.
<br/>[...various tech points elided...]
<br/>6. Anyone who doesn't do this will be fired.
<br/>7. Thank you; have a nice day!
</p>
Ha, ha! You 150-odd ex-Amazon folks here will of course realize immediately that #7 was a little joke I threw in, because <b>Bezos most definitely does not give a shit about your day.</b>
<br/>
#6, however, was quite real, so people went to work.
</blockquote>
Had Bessemer actually voted to unionize, I could well imagine Bezos closing down the facility
in the not-too-distant future - I'm sure he'd have offered plausible reasons, but the real
message would be to other Amazon workplaces. "We're quite happy to lose money in the short term
to avoid having unions directing our business. Are you happy to lose your jobs?"
</p>
<p>
But why does Jeff care so much about unionization?
</p>
<p>
<h2>Intel</h2>
<p>In the fascinating 1998 book <a href="https://www.amazon.com/Inside-Intel-Worlds-Powerful-Company/dp/0452276438">"Inside Intel"</a> there was a great case study of how
a major tech company reacts to a unionization effort. If memory serves, this was
in a chip fabrication plant ("fab") with hourly-paid workers - might have been
in Oregon, I don't recall - and it was a push by a national union to get the local
workforce unionized. The plant manager realized this was a big issue, contacted Intel
senior management, and they pitched in a bunch of people and resources to counter the
unionization campaign. The management's key objective was: "we need to do everything
we can to prevent the plant unionizing, but <em>we can't let them know how much
we care about it.</em> The vote was in Intel's favor, and the union moved on.
</p>
<p>
So why did Intel management care so much about unionization?
</p>
<p>
<h2>Google/Alphabet</h2>
<p>Last year the <a href="https://alphabetworkersunion.org/">Alphabet Workers' Union</a> spun up,
which now has 800+ members across Google and the other companies in Alphabet (the parent firm).
At the moment it's purely voluntary membership and doesn't - as far as I can tell - have any
official status in work conditions/pay negotiation.
</p>
<p>
A clue to their motivations comes from their home page:
<blockquote>
Our union of 800+ members strives to protect Alphabet workers, our global society, and our world. We promote solidarity, democracy, and <b>social and economic justice.</b>
</blockquote>
This might hint at why Google/Alphabet is so wary of unionization.
</p>
<p>
<h2>Apple</h2>
Apple has maintained a very solid anti-union front. The one case I could find is where
their
<a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/news/2016/08/01/apple-shuttle-drivers-agree-union-contract/87924462/"> shuttle bus drivers</a> successfully unionized - no other instances I
could locate had unions appearing at Apple stores or corporate workplaces.
</p>
<p>
So what does Tim Cook have against unionization?
</p>
<p>
<h3>Why does Big Tech hate unions?</h3>
<p>
It's quite simple at one level. The effect of unionization of your workforce is that you give up some amount
of control, and bear some level of increased costs and lower efficiency. If you've got a large
workforce of low-to-medium wage semi-skilled workers - e.g. Amazon warehouse staff, Intel
fab plant staff - and you're constantly honing processes to improve your margin, the last thing
you want is a union-imposed drag on your bang-per-buck.
</p>
<p>
The more interesting question comes when you're looking at a skilled, expensive workforce.
Unionization isn't going to materially affect your wage bill for a highly technical workforce
in an active competitive recruitment market. However, it <em>will</em> prove a distraction, and
possibly a major one, because the union wants to tap into your workforce's salary - 1% union
dues on an average wage of $100K turns out to be quite a lot of money for a 5,000-person company,
let alone a 50,000 person company - and to justify this, they need to show that they're doing
something.
</p><p>So inevitably the union is going to be dragging your company's managerial layers into prolonged wage and conditions
negotiations, pursuing pet causes, trying to eject people that they regard as "undesirable" -
e.g. anti-union, pro-business - while
trying to retain people that management regards as "undesirable" - e.g. ineffective, spending
too much time on pet causes. They're going to seek "equity" of salaries - looking for differentials
by gender, race and age and poking at anomalies. Their executive is looking for a steady income
stream and an increasing amount of power, and they're not going to take "no" for an answer.
</p>
<p>
The unionization struggle, I think, is going to be over approximately 1-2 years after a union gains a significant
foothold in a major tech company. The highly productive people are going to see the brake on company
productivity in general, and their salaries in particular, and go looking for employment somewhere
they don't have to carry as many passengers. In the mean time, the company is going to burn.
</p>
<p>
If you don't believe me, look at the car manufacturers in Detroit.
</p>
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-76729975071223129342021-03-27T17:35:00.004-04:002021-03-28T00:18:34.907-04:00Asian Lives Matter - Uber Eats edition<p>
Item number n+1 in the black-in-Asian violence saga, from Washington D.C. last Tuesday:
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Appalling footage of the carjacking near Nationals Park in Washington D.C. on Tuesday that resulted in the death of Pakistani immigrant & Uber Eats driver Mohammad Anwar. The teenage girls who police say used a Taser to steal the car face murder charges.<a href="https://t.co/mOPnrLBf0t">pic.twitter.com/mOPnrLBf0t</a></p>— Jerry Dunleavy (@JerryDunleavy) <a href="https://twitter.com/JerryDunleavy/status/1375909226439118855?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 27, 2021</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
</p>
<p>
In case the video (1m 26 seconds) is removed, a summary:
<ul>
<li>(0:00) Two people are in the car; orange hoodie person in the passenger seat; Mohammad is outside and wrestling the person in driver's seat for control of the steering wheel</li>
<li>(0:17) Mohammad exclaims "It's my car!"</li>
<li>(0:19) Car accelerates away, Mohammad still clinging on</li>
<li>(0:28) Squeal of brakes as car attempts to make a sharp right, sound of collision</li>
<li>(0:31) Camera holder frantically sprints up the road</li>
<li>(0:49) First view of the car, on its side (driver-side down, passenger-side up) in front of a parking garage.</li>
<li>(0:52) Orange-clad person exits car from the top</li>
<li>(0:56) First view of Mohammad, sprawled next to railings; military-camo people appearing on scene</li>
<li>(0:58) Dreadlocked girl climbing out of top of car, camo'd person helping her down. Camera person or someone close saying "They stole the car! that girl!"</li>
<li>(1:06) Orange hoodie and Dreadlocks moving away from car; Mohammad still sprawled and unmoving</li>
<li>(1:10) Military-sounding person: "I'm going to need everybody step back from the car!"</li>
<li>(1:12) Orange hoodie woman: "My phone is in there!" <strong>SHE IS FOUR FEET AWAY FROM THE
DEAD BODY OF MOHAMMAD, FOR F*CK'S SAKE!</strong></li>
<li>(1:25) General scene control, lools like someone in a blue+red jacket is moving towards
Mohammad - intent to help him? Not clear.</li>
</ul>
</p>
<p>
Local news is reporting that the two carjacking girls are 13 and 15 and now <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2021/03/27/us/washington-dc-uber-eats-carjacking-homicide/index.html">are
charged with murder.</a> Astonishingly, they do
not look at all like white supremacists. Mohammad, age 66, immigrated with his family from
Pakistan in 2014, in search of a better life in the USA. A <a href="https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-the-anwars-find-peace">GoFundme page by the family</a> has raised $190K so far, but that's still way
short of compensation for losing the family's breadwinner.
</p>
<p>
DC Mayor <a href="https://twitter.com/MurielBowser">Muriel Bowser</a> has conspiciously failed to
tweet about this carjack murder of a minority member of the public. I guess Mohammad was the
wrong kind of minority.
</p>
<p>
I repeat my <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/02/asian-lives-matter-arrest-shopkeepers.html">previous opinion</a> - where the heck do Democratic lawmakers think this is
going to end? Middle-Eastern, South Asia, Chinese, Korean, and South-East Asians in the USA
are witnessing a sustained attack on their elders and <a href="https://www.khou.com/article/news/crime/video-houston-beauty-store-attack/285-2b7f9185-ca64-48d2-a1ef-b6f78721266a">livelihoods</a> (beauty supply store in Houston, TX) from a very specific
and identifiable sector of society. You think they're not going to act? Their actions might be
subtle, but they're going to be very definite. If the government isn't going to protect them,
they sure as heck will protect themselves.
</p>
Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-43213713247759232622021-02-28T13:55:00.003-05:002021-03-21T23:39:41.141-04:00COVID protection insanity - Sarah Cody<p>
Santa Clara County, which is mostly the megapolis of San Jose, is making its COVID policy through
its <a href="https://www.sccgov.org/sites/opa/nr/Pages/saracody.aspx">County Health Officer
Dr Sarah Cody,</a> and if there ever was an example of the Peter Principle - Petra Principle? - then
she is it.
</p>
<p>
Witness Friday's
<a href="https://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/local/south-bay/mask-requirement-loosens-up-in-santa-clara-county/2479202/">announcement about loosening restrictions in Santa Clara:</a>
<blockquote>
Santa Clara County loosened some guidelines Friday while keeping others tightly in place.
It now says if you're six feet apart, and outdoors, masks are no longer required.
</blockquote>
According to Twitter, up until now, many residents of Santa Clara had no idea that they had
to wear masks while outdoors and 6+ feet away from anyone else. This is not surprising because
it is <em>completely insane.</em> Technically, if you were jogging on a public trail last Thursday
with no-one within 100 yards, you were violating these restrictions. There is <em>no evidence</em>
that COVID spreads outdoors between people 6ft+ apart - none! Yet Cody found it necessary to
impose the restrictions nevertheless.
</p>
<p>
I've played the ball (the restrictions) so now I feel justified in playing the man (Cody).
</p>
<p>
Cody was appointed in 2013, succeeding her boss - she had spent the past 15 years working as a Deputy Health Officer at the Santa Clara County Public Health Department. If I saw that promotion profile on a
resumé I'd have absolutely no confidence that the promotion was earned. It was either for convenience -
the leadership didn't really bother advertising and interviewing - or diversity, where she was the only
female candidate. The latter seems a bit unlikely because public health officials tend to be female, so
I'm leaning towards "convenience". Definitely not "competence".
</p>
<p>
Cody has <b>comprehensively</b> screwed up Santa
Clara's response to COVID, mounting increasing strict restrictions which have had no differential impact on
the spread and effect of the virus compared to elsewhere. She invents random priorities for vaccination
just to show that she's involved and hip to minorities - rather than taking hard-won experience from
other countries and
implementing as-is. She is <em>astonishingly</em> out of her depth.
I'm sure she's a competent middle-of-the-road medic, but she apparently has no idea how to consider the
business and other aspects of her random pronouncements.
</p>
<p>
I would like to see every restaurant in San Jose, having suffered 3 months of shut-down indoor dining and 2 months of any dining at all despite their investments in outside facilities, post a picture of Sarah Cody - and her minions - in their front windows. Text underneath: "BANNED: not to be served at this establishment". Hope she likes
McDonald's and KFC.
</p>
<p>
That said, Cody doesn't get the full blame; when the local population is full of neurotics,
pandering to them is very tempting.
<blockquote>
"It feels good, but at the same time it's nerve-wracking not wearing it, see, that's why I still have it on, you never know, boom, here we go,” said Monica Hernandez of Cupertino.
</blockquote>
Monica Hernandez should shut herself in a closet in her apartment if she's that afraid. Let the rest
of us try to restart the economy that Dr Sarah Cody has throttled to death.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-25073481099717447562021-02-19T01:04:00.006-05:002021-08-10T00:34:56.918-04:00Asian Lives Matter - arrest the shopkeepers!<p>
I swear, I had no idea this was going to catch light so fast - but apparently it has.
</p>
<p>
I tagged my <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/02/asian-lives-matter-fire-rises.html">previous post</a>
with an update about an Oakland Chinatown liquor store owner who was arrested after shooting at someone robbing
a woman outside his store. Well,
<a href="https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-cops-reluctant-to-arrest-store-owner-who-opened-fire-to-stop-robbery">
the plot has thickened!
</a>
<blockquote>
The arrest of the Oakland Chinatown store owner who fired shots while interrupting a robbery
has <em>divided the police department</em> [my emphasis].
On Monday, the store owner saw a woman being confronted by men who wanted her camera near 9th and Franklin.
The men also hit her with their car.
<br/>
That's when the store owner fired shots, and the men took off. KTVU has learned that the store owner
has a concealed weapons permit from outside Alameda County that's valid statewide.
</blockquote>
Side note: this
<blockquote>
Oakland police officers and investigators believed the owner, who has helped them find suspects in the past,
should be released from custody.
<br/>
But those officers were <em>overruled by a captain who ordered the owner be jailed,</em> [my emphasis] sources
told KTVU.
</blockquote>
So: even the local cops thought that the owner made a reasonable decision , but the chief
of police wants to arrest him. Where, exactly, does Chief LeRonne Armstrong think this is going to lead?
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-39378528723401604672021-02-13T15:58:00.006-05:002021-02-17T00:24:40.084-05:00Asian Lives Matter - the fire rises!<p>
Channelling Tom Hardy here, but the dysfunction and civil rebellion that has started
is not a million miles away from Bane and his merry crew...
</p>
<p>
It didn't take long for <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2021/02/thai-lives-matter.html">my
previous post on an 84 year old blind Thai man being beaten to death</a> for other incidents of
young-black-on-elderly-Asian violence to happen. In fact, it's spreading:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/yahya-muslim-arrest-asian-american-attacks-oakland/">Mr Yahya Muslim of Oakland has been assaulting a series of elderly Asians in the city.</a> He came to prominence after
a security video caught someone with his description smashing a 91-year-old man to the ground from
behind, on January 31</li>
<li><a href="https://www.mercurynews.com/2021/02/08/historic-monument-in-san-joses-japantown-gets-defaced/">Graffiti artists have tagged a Japanese immigrant memorial in San Jose's Japantown,</a>
making a clear statement about territory;</li>
<li>and, unsurprisingly, <a href="https://news.yahoo.com/volunteers-patrol-oakland-chinatown-following-220612148.html">Oakland's Asian community organizes patrols to combat the violence.</a></li>
</ul>
</p>
<p>
The single most telling sign for me is that <em>Bay Area Big Tech companies</em> are sending mails
around about this phenomenon. I've had confirmation of three separate companies mailing their Asian
employee clubs/groups about the attacks, expressing their shock and horror and offering emotional
support. Mind you, they seem to be <em>very careful</em> not to talk about the perpetrators...
</p>
<p>
One claim I have seen recently, now that people are talking about it, is that it has been triggered by
Donald J Trump talking about the "Kung Flu". Setting aside the <em>miniscule</em> likelihood that a
20 year old black thug in San Francisco has even listened to a Trump speech, let's remember
<a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2020/05/chinese-lives-matter.html">Yik Oi Huang</a> who
was brutally beaten in SFO in <em>January 2019</em>, over a year before the pandemic - and suffered
for a year before dying in early 2020. These are not Trump-driven anti-Chinese supremacists. These
are callous racist thugs. Lay the blame for their behaviour at the feet of their parents - if they still
care.
</p>
<p>
The most spectacular feet of mental agility I've seen, though, was from
Los Angeles Times writer and Pulitzer Prize winner <a href="https://vietnguyen.info/">Viet T Nguyen:</a>
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet">
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">Horrendous crimes against Asian Americans have happened recently, and it is right that Asian Americans have spoken out against them. But we can be against anti-Asian violence and not resort to knee-jerk calls for more policing, which is inextricable from the policing of Black</p>— Viet Thanh Nguyen (@viet_t_nguyen) <a href="https://twitter.com/viet_t_nguyen/status/1360101211127468036?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 12, 2021</a>
<p lang="en" dir="ltr">and Brown communities. Asian Americans need to locate anti-Asian violence as <b>part of a pattern of white supremacy</b> [<em>my emphasis</em>] which also targets Black and Brown and Indigenous people. Even if perpetrators of violence are people of color, the solution is not to fallback on racist assumptions</p>— Viet Thanh Nguyen (@viet_t_nguyen) <a href="https://twitter.com/viet_t_nguyen/status/1360101212297699328?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">February 12, 2021</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
All I can say is that it must take a very expensive education to mess up one's brain that
badly. Black people are beating up on the Asian elderly community, and your reflex - as
a Vietnamese American - is to blame <em>white supremacy?</em>
</p>
<p>
I repeat my previous assertion. Unless these attacks are stopped - and it doesn't look like the police
are able to stop them - the Asian community is going to turn to organizations which can make it happen.
Asian shops are going to stop serving young black people, or make them feel so unwelcome that they leave,
further increasing tensions.
The almost-inevitable result is going to be a black 20-year old found lying in an alley in Chinatown
with severe beating injuries, but it will turn out that no-one around saw anything. I thought we had
got past this, but apparently history repeats.
</p>
<p>
<b>Update:</b> Feb 16th 2021 - a 30 year old was robbed of her expensive camera in Chinatown, Oakland.
A liquor store owner saw what was happenening, ran out and fired his gun at the robber - and <a href="https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-chinatown-store-owner-who-intervened-in-robbery-arrested">was
promptly arrested and charged with felony assault with a firearm.</a>
<blockquote>
The [police] chief's message was that Oakland should come together as a community, but that people should not put one another in harm's way.
</blockquote>
Sorry Chief, but there's a section of the black community which has already decided to put the Asian
community in harm's way. And when you arrest a Chinese store owner for trying to stop a robbery -
where the robber escapes - you send a very clear (unintentional) message to the Asian community about
their ability to rely on the police to protect them.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-5867319851280521262021-02-03T00:25:00.003-05:002021-02-17T00:18:22.892-05:00Thai Lives Matter<p>
It turns out that, <a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2020/10/asian-american-lives-matter-and-sf.html">following my previous notes on the matter,</a> Asian-American lives in San Francisco
<a href="https://www.ktvu.com/news/suspect-arrested-in-deadly-attack-on-84-year-old-man-in-san-francisco">continue
to be rudely shortened:</a>
<blockquote>
Police in San Francisco arrested a 19-year-old Daly City man on suspicion of murder for a brazen attack last week on an 84-year-old man in the city’s Anza Vista neighborhood, officials said Sunday.
<br/>[...]<br/>
The victim was identified by family members as Vicha Ratanapakdee, a native of Thailand who lived in San Francisco.
</blockquote>
I've seen the <a href="https://twitter.com/EvanSernoffsky/status/1356120488326533122">uncensored security video of the incident.</a> It does not make for comfortable viewing.
The thug barrels across the road, slams into Mr Ratanapakdee from the side, knocking him hard into the ground
and then just lopes away casually. He clearly didn't care whether his victim lived or died. Unsurprisingly it
was the latter, but took two days to happen.
</p>
<p>
Mr Ratanapakdee was 84 years old, and apparently legally blind. The notion that he was any kind of threat - or
was even really aware of his assailant before the attack - is ridiculous.
The alleged assailant, Mr Antoine Watson, is of course of the same ethnic persuasion as that described in
my previously linked stories of elder abuse and grievous harm in peaceful San Francisco.
</p>
<p>
Even San Francisco's notoriously lax DA has been forced to take this attack seriously, and -
should Mr Watson indeed be convicted of the crimes charged - he can expect a good long stint in jail.
But the fact that he even attempted this is a recurring reminder of the threat to San Francisco's
elderly Asian community that a certain section of its black community poses. Does the city government
really think they are going to continue to take this lying down? Sooner or later, something is going to
snap. And when the city doesn't show any inclination to protect elderly Asians, their younger relatives
are going to find a <em>dai lo</em> who will.
</p>
<p>
<b>Update:</b> Feb 16th 2021 - a robbery outside a liquor store in Chinatown, Oakland
results in a young woman being robbed of her expensive camera, and <a href="https://www.ktvu.com/news/oakland-chinatown-store-owner-who-intervened-in-robbery-arrested">the liquor store owner being
charged with felony assault with a firearm when he tried to intervene.</a> While
I'm sure that firing four shots (with, presumably, zero hits) was not the minimal-violence
reaction, can you imagine how this is going to play in Chinatown?
<blockquote>
The chief [of police]'s message was that Oakland should come together as a community,
but that people should not put one another in harm's way.
</blockquote>
Sorry Chief, I think that ship has sailed. One small part of the black community is already putting a
large part of the Asian community in harm's way. When the Asian community fights back, they're arrested.
And Police Chief LeRonne Armstrong is black. It doesn't matter how upright and righteous he is, this is going to appear
- unfairly - as the black police chief covering for black criminals.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-29669719249530277132021-01-28T21:15:00.001-05:002021-01-30T13:13:48.400-05:00Pandejos and the law of unintended consequences<p>
Most of the readership will be familiar with the fact that California has a large population
of "indocumentados" - immigrants of less-than-legal status, mostly from Central America,
who supply a lot of the farming, factory and other close-or-below minimum wage labour.
This has, historically, been encouraged by virtually every Californian politician in
high office.
</p>
<p>
So you've brought in a large population of people who aren't that fluent with the language, actively
avoid authority - police, INS, DMV etc. - and you've specifically told them that the rules,
such as immigration law, don't apply to them. And now, there's a pandemic, and you want them
to follow government-mandated rules on their business and personal lives.
</p>
<p>
<a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/01/why-southern-california-got-so-bad/617830/">How, dear
reader, would you expect this to turn out?</a>
</p>
<p>Gustavo Arellano of the Los Angeles Times is in
despair at the behaviour of the <em>pandejos</em> - a portmanteau of "pandemic" and the Hispanic
pejorative "pendejo":
<blockquote>
The earnestness and importance of the [COVID] messages don't matter: Everywhere I turn, my neighbors ignore
the suggestions with gusto. Down the street are tents on front yards packed with people attending a birthday party. Over there is a taco truck where people chow down shoulder to shoulder, despite signs stating that all orders are to-go. Off in all directions, I hear music: live mariachi, conjunto norteño outfits, brass bands, and DJs, echoing from blocks away. Sometimes I can even catch the sermon of a Pentecostal minister who never bothered closing his storefront church to indoor service.
</blockquote>
</p>
<p>
The combination of Gustavo's Puritan indignity at this behaviour, and his previous cheering-on of Latino
extra-legal immigration (e.g. <a href="https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2019-11-09/prop-187-anniversary-commemoration">his relentless opposition to Proposition 187,</a> is enough to make one wish for stronger
bladder muscles. Gustavo has inadvertently cheered on a wipe-out of his favoured community's abuelos and abuelas:
<blockquote>
In Los Angeles County, the Department of Health estimates that daily COVID-19 deaths among Latinos went from about 3.5 per 100,000 people in early November to 28 per 100,000 in January—an increase of almost 800 percent. In Ventura County, two zip codes in the city of Oxnard account for around 30 percent of all COVID-19 cases—and these spots just so happen to correspond with where farmworkers live and pick. In Orange County, Latinos make up 34 percent of the population but 44 percent of all cases and about 39 percent of deaths.
</blockquote>
</p>
<p>
Why does California continue to have a high COVID infection and death rate? Because it imported a large
underclass who never had to pay mind to government diktats, who live in crowded conditions that happily
spread the virus, and who (though generally young and healthy) have brought in grandparents with diet-related
comorbidities who are prime targets for COVID.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-63341716936360768742021-01-17T12:40:00.000-05:002021-01-17T12:40:17.476-05:00"Dude, you're screwed!" - an appreciation<p>
One of the great features about American cable TV used to be that there were so many channels,
and so few shows worth watching, that you'd be forced to channel-surf until you came across something
vaguely appealing on a channel that you'd likely never visit deliberately. Thus, new shows entered
the American consciousness.
</p>
<p>
Now Netflix is near-ubiquitous... the same thing is happening there. It's astonishing how big the
Netflix catalogue is, but less astonishing how much of it is crap. Still, there are some gems buried
in the ordure, and I stumbled across one of them with a most unpreprosessing title:
<a href="https://go.discovery.com/tv-shows/dude-youre-screwed">"Dude, You're Screwed!"</a>
</p>
<p>
The premise of the show is simple but brilliant. There are 5-6 hosts of the show, all with a background in
wilderness survival. In each episode, one host is "abducted" and dumped in the middle of the wilderness, with
no idea where they are, given a survival kit with items of varying helpfulness - a giant teddy bear and a Viking shield, in one case - and have 100 hours to find "civilization" which might be a main road, houses, or just stumbling across other people. For the viewer's benefit, a suitably well-equipped cameraman accompanies the victim but
cannot help them in any way. Presumably they would intervene if things went very pear-shaped, but you get the idea.
</p>
<p>
Is is staged? At least some of the takedown-and-transport parts are; if you were a Costa Rican immigration
official, would you let a party into your country with one member flex-cuffed and with a bag over his head? but
I think most of it is real. The victim might know what country they're in, but not where they are or where to
go. But I think this misses the point, in any case. This show is <em>fascinating</em> in how you get an
up-and-close look at wilderness environments, and how they try very hard to kill you.
</p>
<p>
Some of my favourite episodes were Iceland (Jake), Tanzania (Matt), Namibia (Jake again) and Utah (John). In all of these you get a really good look at wilderness you'd probably never see, and its peculiar wrinkles. Of all of them, the Namibian desert / <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Skeleton_Coast">Skeleton Coast</a> was probably the best. Jake - a former Navy SEAL - fights his way through the desert only to end up on the shore where there's still nothing to eat or drink, a whole bunch of dead wildlife testifying to the hostility of the land, and the only plants are poisonous. The legendary SEAL determination shows - in the closing hours, despite being dehydrated, starved and vomiting, he's still doggedly hiking down the coast looking for civilization. Had the others not intervened, he'd have certainly died - but even then <em>I'm still not entirely sure it would have stopped him.</em>
</p>
<p>
What makes the show for me, though, is the interplay between the core characters: the aforementioned SEAL Jake, Green Beret Terry, wilderness survival and atlatl master Matt, and UK military SERE instructor John. They're all very different personalities but bounce off each other well in cameraderie, perspectives, and the balance between wanting to make the situation challenging while being concerned for the victim's well-being. Jake's a balls-out "beat this in the fastest time" guy, Terry is more cerebral, Matt just seems to like making things out of trees, and John is a phlegmatic Mancunian whose early priority seems to be to find something to make a hot cup of tea. There are other hosts, but these four really stand out for me.
</p>
<p>
You can probably find this on Netflix, or maybe Discovery Channel on cable. It might also be titled "Survive That!".
Go take a look, you'll enjoy it. Also, stay the heck away from the Namib.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-18940371422582379672021-01-09T14:11:00.000-05:002021-01-09T14:11:16.337-05:00Trump won yesterday<p>No really, he did. Hear me out.</p>
<p>I'm not talking about the November 2020 election; I have no idea who actually won that.
I will note that, if Joe Biden was confident that he won fairly, then he'd have motivation to
ask a reputable organization to conduct a thorough investigation into the election's conduct
and vindicate his win. But no, I'm talking about the effect of the Trump 2017-2021 presidency.
</p>
<p>
President Donald Trump managed to drive the media, Big Tech, Democratic party and sundry
establishment members <em>so mad</em> with everything he did in those four years, that they
abandoned any pretence at fairness and yesterday went on a concerted witch hunt to shut him
off mainstream social media <a href="https://variety.com/2021/digital/news/parler-app-banned-google-apple-app-store-trump-violence-1234881947/">and choke off other social media that let him and his
supporters communicate.</a> The Democrats are trying to pass articles of impeachment
and invoke the 25th Amendment to remove him from the presidency before January 20th.
The Capitol invasion was just the excuse - they've been talking about this for months, but
only in the closing days of the presidency did they have the "courage" to do it.
</p>
<p>
[Side note for those who didn't take US high school civics: the <a href="https://constitutioncenter.org/interactive-constitution/interpretation/amendment-xxv/interps/159">25th Amendment to the US Constitution</a> talks
about the US President being relieved of their role, voluntarily - and maybe temporarily, e.g. while undergoing
medical treatment, or forcibly.
The reason that it's being talked about now, with less than 2 weeks to go, is <em>apparently</em> (because
I can't see this clearly in the text) it would prevent Trump from running for President again
in 2024. It is interesting to note the the Democrats still think that Trump would be a material asset
to the Republicans in 4 years time. If they really thought he was a loon and a loser, wouldn't they
cheer him on for a re-run? Perhaps they remember Hilary Clinton cheering him on in the 2016 primaries, and
are <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017/nov/07/the-night-they-cant-forget-hillary-clinton-supporters-recall-the-election">once bitten, twice shy.</a>]
</p>
<p>
My personal opinion is that this was a <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Asculum#Aftermath">Pyrrhic victory;</a>
<ul>
<li>the Dem/BigTech/DCSwamp has demonstrated to the world that they are still <em>terrified</em> of Trump;</li>
<li>70 million people voted for Trump in the most recent election, despite a 4 year coordinated campaign against
him by the media (all but Fox), Establishment (Russia hoax and impeachment), Never Trump "Republicans", and recently Big Tech (Twitter and Facebook steadily increasing interference in his comms and with his supporters);</li>
<li>he has provoked the Democrats to exhibit their gun-grabbing credentials to the point that <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/10/27/us/guns-2020-election.html">there were more background checks for
firearm purchases in the first 9 months of 2020 than in any previous year,</a> and
<a href="https://hemiposterical.blogspot.com/2020/11/unrest-expected-firearms-indicator.html">guns and
ammunition are in unprecentended short supply</a> despite <a href="https://www.arkansasonline.com/news/2020/nov/15/remington-buyer-set-to-return/">manufacturers ramping
up additional plants to meet demand.</a> I hypothesize that most of these gun and ammo buyers don't
vote Democrat - and with 8M+ new firearm owners in 2020, that's a big fraction of the election base
who have been 'radicalized';</li>
<li>the COVID crisis has demonstrated that Democratic leadership is completely happy to trash small business
for no good reason, while fully funding their teaching and other union block to stay at home and "phone it in"
at full pay rates, while governors and Senators get their hair done, eat at expensive restaurants, and generally
display hypocrisy to an astounding degree.</li>
</ul>
Knowing a numbner of engineers and marketing folks at Twitter and YouTube, they are to a <strike>man</strike> non-gendered-person staunch left wing
advocates, and the depth of their loathing for Trump is hard to over-state. I don't know Jack Dorsey or Susan
Woiciki personally, but it would not astonish me if they had a similar attitude.
</p>
<p>
The Trump base will not go away because of the past week's changes. They're only going to get squeezed - and when
you squeeze something hard enough, the internal pressure builds up until there is a "bang". JFK said <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXRG7yiqR3I">those who make peaceful revolution impossible make
violent revolution inevitable.</a> If the hotheads in the Democrat administration prevail, I fear that the
"bang" is going to echo around the world.
</p>
<p>
I enjoy the "Monster Hunter" books of unreformed conservative author Larry Correia, but he knows a lot about
guns and the gun-owning community, and his words from 2017's blog post <a href="https://monsterhunternation.com/2016/11/14/a-handy-guide-for-liberals-who-are-suddenly-interested-in-gun-ownership/">"A handy guide for liberals who are suddenly interested in gun ownership"</a> really resonate right now:
<blockquote>
There is a saying that has long been common in my half of the country. <em>There are four boxes to be used in defense of liberty, soap, ballot, jury, and ammo. Please use in that order.</em> You can debate, vote, and go to court in order to get things changed. You only go ammo box when those other things no longer work, because once you do, there is no going back.
<br/>
<br/>
God willing, America never gets to that point, because if we ever go to war with ourselves again,
then it will be a blood bath the like of which the world has never seen.
</blockquote>
If the jury box doesn't defend the rights of 70M+ Americans, there's only one box left.
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6165084037963573266.post-63258489749572728452020-12-18T00:39:00.002-05:002020-12-18T01:23:40.849-05:00Jill Biden is no Doctor<p>I posted something like the following at <a href="http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2020/12/17/yet-another-fake-narrative/#comment-1386576">SDA</a> but thought it worth a repost here for posterity.
</p>
<p>I read through <a href="http://www.smalldeadanimals.com/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/jill_biden_dissertation.pdf">Jill Biden's Ed.D</a> thesis. Short version:
she's no Doctor. She's probably not even a Master.
</p>
<p>
Some facts:
<ul>
<li>Jill's actual content (introduction up to but not including references) is 80 pages, double-spaced. Interestingly, her table of contents doesn’t properly line up with the page count, but whatever.</li>
<li>Typical page (her introduction) is about 250 words, so that’s about a 20,000 word thesis excluding references and appendices.</li>
<li>a PhD thesis in the arts typically has a 80K upper word limit, Masters a 60K upper word limit. Good ones are probably half that, maybe a bit more. So Jill has written a bit more than half of a typical Masters thesis.</li>
<li>the text is significantly bulked out with e.g. material that seems like what you'd find in a Delaware Tech+Community College brochure, the full text of a student survey, and a faculty interview that should probably have been relegated to an appendix.</li>
<li>the thesis has 39 references by my count, which is what you’d expect from a medium length conference / journal paper. A Masters thesis should have more than that. A doctorate (which is supposed to advance the state of research) should have a <b>lot</b> more.</li>
<li>she has a boring writing style (this is technically an opinion, but I’m right) and it’s hard to figure out what she’s trying to argue. Her conclusions seem rather trite.</li>
</ul>
</p>
<p>
Opinion: if I was one of the people who signed off on this (pages 3 and 4) I would be very quiet about it if someone at a party started spouting off that Jill Biden deserves to be called “Doctor”.
For the record, these are:
<ul>
<li>Barbara Curry, Ed.D.
(Professor in charge of dissertation (executive position paper)</li>
<li>James Broomall, Ed.D.
Member of dissertation committee (executive position paper)</li>
<li>Frances Leach, Ed.D.
Member of dissertation committee (executive position paper)</li>
<li>Eugene Matusov, Ph.D.
Member of dissertation committee (executive position paper)</li>
</ul>
</p>Hopperhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13548829473468337487noreply@blogger.com0